Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

An interesting contrast--and one that I felt was really reflected in my twitter 'interactions' last week https://t.co/W5lox4AK9J — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Neil_Irwin: The only things that got cheaper last month were alcoholic beverages and airfare. Good month to get drunk and hop on a plan… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Alternately, a credible proposal for further expansion of higher ed might look more like local K-16 edu, perhaps by upgrading community colleges to offer BAs in collaboration with the state university system — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Basically the NJ/VA result — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Not true. It’s interesting that the exit polls are wrong on this, given that they’re weighted geographically (tho urbanicity is self reported) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @sissenberg: If you want to understand why former Green Party campaigner @kyrstensinema is so enamored with bipartisanship and has such… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @grace_panetta: in non-BIF/BBB news….former #WA08 Rep. Dave Reichert stars in the first episode of “catching killers” on Netflix talking… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Neil_Irwin: No big deal, we're just at 11.2% in year-over-year nominal wage gains for leisure and hospitality workers. https://t.co/OBM… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

obviously a lot of things aren't going really well right now. but afghanistan dealt a deeper blow to perceptions of competence and so on. if you're a voter who saw it that way, it can color the way you interpret the administration's handling of/responsibility for everything else — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

sorry that was not *the* most recent one--that was early october. but still, months later, afghanistan is right up there https://t.co/ejEDlr07dC — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

in important ways, it might still be https://t.co/wtTwjbaFcD https://t.co/0oTN3ecJEA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @BenjySarlin: If you buy that the biggest drag on Biden right now is COVID and the economy, seems relevant we just got by far the best n… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ashishkjha: Just stunning results Pfizer's new oral therapy reduced hospitalizations by 90% 7 deaths in placebo group, 0 deaths in th… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I've mentioned 1946 a few times now, so this time I'll do 1922. 1920 of course was *the* return to normalcy election, but it wasn't all smooth. There was a recession in 1921. Dems made huge gains in '22. The roaring 20s took a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It hasn't felt like normal the last three months, and it's been especially demoralizing because it seemed we might… https://t.co/Lit5EKbqDu — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For all the discussion about messaging and the Democratic agenda, there's really no better solution to a 43% approv… https://t.co/T6YnZI4g83 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Neil_Irwin: Nice. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Neil_Irwin: Wow HUUGE positive revisions to August and September. Combined +235k jobs for the two months. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ryanmatsumoto1: A Republican has won the election for Seattle city attorney against a self-described police abolitionist opponent. Ano… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PollsterPatrick @researchrants @NJGov yeah. that's more than a reporting problem. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@researchrants @PollsterPatrick @NJGov i'm just saying they already have done a lot of the work to set up a real infrastructure for reporting election results. they do need to add a few more things, have a centralized state page, and get a few other counties on it. but this isn't that hard from here! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PollsterPatrick @researchrants @NJGov most of the counties have clarity results pages. i'm not sure it would take a lot of additional work here — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PollsterPatrick it's not acceptable to have multi-day vote counts without transparent information on what ballots are left — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite they haven't; i did it with the voter file — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite (also, i should have mentioned that the plot is only for precincts >70% white; this is it for all precincts https://t.co/PuKAuNM1pM — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite this reallocates all early/absentee voters to their precinct, so my assumption is that the pattern in your chart is driven by the racial composition of the county — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PollsterPatrick 22k* — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PollsterPatrick doesn't seem like there's much left to me, probably just late arrivals. pre election, L2 had 20k absentee ballots in the county; 21k counted so far — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tbonier The regression includes all precincts with a control for census tract col+; the plot was >80% white iirc but it’s just for illustration — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tbonier I’m just using estimated Biden vote by precinct — PolitiTweet.org