Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @pklinkne: Attention political scientists: We really need to invite @mitchellvii to an APSA panel. Who's with me? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DannyFranklin0 @jonathanchait it may make it the best we can do — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @KevinQ: 6,000 words of Trump insults in today's NYT. Recommended user experience: read them all, left to right, on a copy you bought yo… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DannyFranklin0 @jonathanchait uh huh, and which poll is that — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DannyFranklin0 @jonathanchait well which one is that — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Sleep well. https://t.co/3zXb0R4ohm — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We don't win anymore. We don't win at trades. We don't win at field goals. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Unbelievable — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten yeah that's not a real poll. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten which was the one — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite @adambonin @AlecMacGillis you know that's not the way to look at it! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton has an advantage in every model, except Bill Mitchell's Halloween costumes indicator @jackhealyNYT https://t.co/RX3aB0W4rs — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mktownsend2 12 would be a tad high but not much — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It'll be interesting to see if this shows in public polling, esp after Gallup on O approval and ABC https://t.co/tYYBdCv4zW — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite well, yes--and that works with cities too. anything that moves wasted votes to competitive districts would be great for Ds — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite again, a frame that says the dems could fix spatial inefficiency by losing statewide isn't helpful — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite no that's why it's backwards; if dems did worse with WWC, they'd fix spatial inefficency by losing statewide — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite no, but you've framed it as a disputing spatial inefficiency/wasted votes, bc clustering is shorthand for it — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite the way that dems gained nationally is with *gains* in urban areas. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite yes, dems could fix their spatial inefficiency problem by losing the countryside 80-20, and lose *both* states and congress — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite again, that's not clashing: either way, getting Ds out of cities would reduce their spatial inefficiency problem. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite and, because the way Dems have been gaining statewide is by making gains in those districts — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite no, it's because the mechanism by which Dems *win*--and therefore, the reason they're expected to have CDs--is in blue — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite but i don't think the people RTing you think that's what you mean. they think you're saying there is no wasted vote issue — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite yes, Ds could solve spatial inefficiency by losing rural areas so much that they don't win state OR congressional elections! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@xenocryptsite this feels like a pretty tendentious interpretation of the spatial inefficiency/wasted vote argument — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now, I feel like everyone should agree: gerrymandering is probably the difference between a GOP advantage and near-lock on the House. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

After 2012, the debate was meaningful: question was whether gerrymandering was *the* reason for the GOP House in '12, or *a* reason. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The gerrymandering v. geography debate about the House is getting pretty stale post-2014. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RaySachs yup. — PolitiTweet.org