Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This is a big difference between our FL polls: we found no split https://t.co/rWlgafOO2Z — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mattdrn the share of our respondents that turned out (31%) is about the same as the share of our universe that turned out (29%) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Jobsboils @jbouie those are our actual poll respondents, not estimates — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @PatrickRuffini: Seeing this in some of our surveys also. https://t.co/UZC4X1hHqQ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@LarrySchweikart @rb22982 @MadaGasp the reports are that trump is going to lose charlotte/raleigh by a far wider margin than any recent gop — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @betsy_klein: Inbox: Tim Kaine to Campaign in Arizona (Tucson!) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@LarrySchweikart @rb22982 @MadaGasp uh, dayton is not raleigh or charlotte — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DecisionDeskHQ isn't your founder's "pennsylvvvaaaniiiaaaa" the peak of the comic routine — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@LarrySchweikart @rb22982 @MadaGasp your problem is the kasich vote, not R areas. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@MadaGasp we think that unaffiliated, dem primary voters who have turned support clinton 85-9. unaffiliated nonprimary voters for c, 52-38 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@MadaGasp @LarrySchweikart here's how: we think unaffiliated, gop primary voters who have turned out support trump by just a 75-20 margin — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@MadaGasp @LarrySchweikart his snark aside, he's right that it's actually on me to reconcile that — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@b_schaffner 52F-45M, so about the same as the RV pool — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The characteristics of those early voters who were not initially 'almost certain': White 61, Black 27 D 43, R 29 Voted 12: 76% Voted 14: 59% — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton led 57-32 among respondents who were not 'almost certain' to vote, but since voted early (Corrected; I said 55-40 initially) @jbouie — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm about to delete this tweet; I did it backwards. My bad. https://t.co/2GnGVZ9weA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mattdrn they hadn't at the time. they have since. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

.@jbouie and that's n=88; so it's not an egregiously tiny subsample (though a small one) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

18 percent of our early voters in NC said they were less than "Almost Certain" to vote. They would have missed the cut in many LV screens. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We now have 492 poll respondents who have voted early in NC. Clinton leads 53 to 38 percent, Johnson at 4. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton edges up in our North Carolina estimates based on early voting https://t.co/YKXDPri6oq — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @KellyannePolls: New: the next First Lady, @MELANIATRUMP, to deliver speech in suburban #Philly on Thursday. #MAGA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The GOP's inability to seriously contest Pennsylvania is basically comic material at this point — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NYRangersss except that doesn't really add up — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For the third straight election, we're going to spend the last week talking about a last-ditch GOP effort in PA, aren't we? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

NC is a really tough state to fall behind in at this stage. Big early vote. Fewer persuadable voters. Hard to mount a comeback. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@IChotiner i'm just saying that clinton's vote share may not be especially clear — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@IChotiner what if he said '47.5' — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Florida polling hasn't been great for Clinton, between us, Selzer and Marist. North Carolina, on the other hand, looks very bad for Trump — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @mmurraypolitics: NBC/WSJ/Marist of NC Clinton 47 Trump 41 Johnson 8 Was Clinton +4 earlier this month 2way: Clinton 50, Trump 44 O… — PolitiTweet.org