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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @blakehounshell: oh this is getting fuuuunnnn https://t.co/c25oFv5y0s — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @TexasTribAbby: Rick Perry strongly encouraged Rep. Michael McCaul to challenge Sen. Ted Cruz in a GOP primary, with @PatrickSvitek http… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
The danger to Clinton, IMO, is that well-educated, white, GOP-leaners come home — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Polls show Clinton ahead in NC because Trump isn't doing well among white voters, esp well-edu whites. It's not bc of high black turnout — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
The catch, though, is that I don't think there are any NC polls showing black voters at 2012 levels https://t.co/tR0PF0cTf4 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@Mikel_Jollett it does hurt her; she would lead by more if black turnout was higher — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@EdAsante77 lots of reliable black voters left to turn out — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Our estimate was the black share of electorate would fall to 21.4% from 23. Lower black turnout was baked in https://t.co/F6XdzpeWf9 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
The main take away from our NC early vote tracker so far: our expectations for the composition of the electorate haven't budged at all — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@_anti_climacus y — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
The early vote tracker in North Carolina updated--and corrected. I'm sorry for screwing up, described in this image… https://t.co/sW1DL9RgyQ — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
There have been a lot of big news events this year. Many moved the polls, but none fundamentally reshaped the race. https://t.co/1FpBEOVItX — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Trump does have a better shot at New Mexico than Mexico, I'll give him that — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@PatrickRuffini overreporting; at the time they were asked, i don't think anyone was recorded as voting and said they didn't — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
https://t.co/ZvnTY1LMCT https://t.co/FzJiHtXw1h — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @RyanMaue: Invest 90M likely a tropical depression in Mediterranean Sea "Medicane" https://t.co/uKR2qQQL4l — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Appropriate background music https://t.co/efqJrcangr — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Ah yes, the late GOP play for Minnesota, New Mexico, Michigan and Pennsylvania. You don't say. https://t.co/6DQCc3ip7L — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@nsw43 @doodlebug0 no — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Yes, there are more registered Republicans in the NC early vote than 2012, fewer Dems. We expected this. https://t.co/DKpXT0PnqL — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@HerbieLewis people lie, absentee ballots could still be in mail. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@HerbieLewis you're misreading--it's 81 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@AlfredTCooper north carolina publishes the data every day, person by person — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@y2roby yes — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@jacob_saxton correct — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Self-reported turnout in our NC polls v. early voting, per North Carolina records. (IE: 34% of 'almost certain' vot… https://t.co/LzqlxPOf7c — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@rdthorsett we're talking about like 15 people — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
In our NC poll--now a week old--16 percent of the ppl who *said* they voted haven't shown up in nc absentee data https://t.co/IyLFmc4zfr — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@ForecasterEnten :( — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @mckaycoppins: This does not strike me as the argument that will finally win over Mormons for Trump. https://t.co/QeqI95LhEy — PolitiTweet.org