Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

SurveyUSA poll has a pretty similar electorate to the other polls. If it's wrong, it won't be bc of the electorate https://t.co/46CGPJKd29 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clarifying: all 3 groups are unaffiliated. That's how Clinton leads unaf. vt despite more GOP primary vt in group https://t.co/CkrIH7vHWn — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jakephi1020 @Mikel_Jollett i'd guess the never trump people aren't racing to vote early — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jakephi1020 @Mikel_Jollett 83-7 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jakephi1020 @Mikel_Jollett see first tweet: 75-12 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

.@Mikel_Jollett no, that's unaffiliated, non primary voters. all 3 groups in Tweet are unaffiliated; some voted D, R in primary — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Those aren't our model figures. That's just our sample of verified early voters (which drives the model). — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton has a 12 pt lead among early unaffiliated NC voters. By primary vt: C89-8 among D primary vt T75-12 among R C46-37 among no 16 p vt — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Black turnout is down, but it's not 'low.' They're voting like nonblack voters. Half of black midterm vt still left. https://t.co/KIIGJ6Wxqf — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Registration shifts are driving apparent turnout shifts: Dems are down because there are fewer reg. Dems than '12 https://t.co/KIIGJ6Wxqf — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Our sample of verified North Carolina early voters supported Clinton by a 51-39 percent margin in NC. https://t.co/KIIGJ6EW1F — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

North Carolina early voting trends are strongly consistent with the polls https://t.co/KIIGJ6Wxqf — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @gdebenedetti: As Clinton heads to Arizona today, I'm told the campaign is nearly doubling its TV buy over the final week there, breakin… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I basically only look at live interview polls and the few good online outfits https://t.co/PzHKkPhck3 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In case you were wondering whether polling averages had triumphed over single polls---or single poll subsamples https://t.co/d6X33arJkb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@KevinQ @darlin @aliciaparlap a little sad that parlap didn't point out how badly we got our 1896 projections wrong! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten you'll be dressed as him in your heart, at least — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten i wrote-in Bill Mitchell — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@woflwaffle not anymore — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I voted in-person for the first time today. Kind of fun, but mail is easier — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@LPDonovan the pew data is weighted to the census — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@AJentleson where is that — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@SadFndngFathers yes — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In North Caroilna--where we have favorable polls for Clinton--Trump leads 80-10 among reg GOP voters who have voted early, per state records — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Across the five Upshot/Siena polls of NC/FL/PA, Trump led 79 to 9 percent among registered Republicans. Margin was 80-8 percent in Florida. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton's not winning 28% of registered Republican early voters in Florida. Just saying. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ForecasterEnten: From month before election to 9 days before it, we had 80 live interview polls in 2012 in 10 states closest to nationa… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

What about Billy?? https://t.co/1qTkU0E20j — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @tbonier: Change of plans. I'll be talking with @Lawrence on @TheLastWord at 10 PM, with the exclusive release of our latest FL tracking… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@bjmartino are you serious — PolitiTweet.org