Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Important to remember as irregular voters start turning out: missing and newly registered voters lean Dem https://t.co/L2WZ7kR1wL — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonlovett what would you consider significant? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@santoshpud exactly — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

.@santoshpud the goal was to explain/illustrate early voting effects. i think people mainly thought it meant our poll was confirmed by e.v. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@senortalone no, that's independent voters. not unaffiliated. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think that if we were doing it again, we'd either adjust it to match poliing average or we'd only do a 'change over time' chart — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We were prepared to 'fail' on it. I think we probably did, tbh. But I think we learned a lot about communicating it https://t.co/EuwTemuTVs — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The most important thing to watch is the trendine: the only thing that influences it is early voting. (doesn't account for 'tightening') — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Last two days of early voting in NC have been very good for Dems, per our estimates. Lots of irregular Clinton vt… https://t.co/wnYflceuOO — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@steveschale that 68-12.2-14.4 = the vote so far? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Wow, that worried about the election? https://t.co/rh0TyVGkYf — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That's 268k in-person votes so far. Was 231k yesterday https://t.co/MlPvxntkmD — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Fox has Clinton +2 Marist has Clinton +1. https://t.co/fVk3HgGCTB — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ForecasterEnten @EsotericCD @NateSilver538 @SeanTrende BEWARE — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DavMicRot i don't think undecided/minor party vote break for trump = the same as 'hidden trump' — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DavMicRot undecided voters/minor party candidates — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @samsteinhp: More latinos have voted in Florida as of now than in the entire 2012 election, Clinton campaign says — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nickgourevitch do you see as many minor party/undecided voters as public polls — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Amazing https://t.co/nF5reb2YoZ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

My guess: if Clinton loses--and she could--it won't be bc polls were wrong about the turnout. Seen enough early vt https://t.co/g5KWoMD42P — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @foxnewspoll: New! @FoxNews national poll results tonight on @SpecialReport w/@BretBaier #FoxNews2016 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If you could get a new poll in a state right now, where would you want it? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton's path to the presidency is intact, but not secure https://t.co/h9l20DF4BT — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@KevinQ it's nyt-franklin — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jonathanchait: Read @DLeonhardt on the astonishing social justice triumph of charter schools in Boston, and the threat to stop them htt… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@steveschale @SadFndngFathers too kind, too kind — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @steveschale: @Nate_Cohn yesterday EV was 60-14-17. I've got it 68-12-14 now, but it's ticking down .5-.7 a day — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@chrislhayes higher hispanic turnout, lower black turnout. just how white overall still tbd — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As is the case with our NC estimates, the main takeaway is that the turnout is largely going as expected https://t.co/Pzw7q6s5Kx — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

My guess is that @PatrickRuffini will have the most 'accurate' electorate of the 4 pollsters that used our sample. We'll see — PolitiTweet.org