Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's still a lot of vote left in Michigan--room for remaining vote to just be much better for Clinton, say if ru… https://t.co/d3eBZ0JaeA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton lead in Pennsylvania now under 3 points. A lot of GOP vote left. https://t.co/t2t8kBPRyH — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The AP projects that Trump wins Florida, and survives a huge surge in Hispanic turnout with big gains with whites — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

At the moment, we believe there's a 66% chance of a Democratic win in the popular vote and a Trump win in the Electoral College — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton's margin in Pennsylvania continues to slip. We think there's a lot of GOP vote left there. https://t.co/ooDTwYD7ZB — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'd say our live model is now overestimating Trump's odds--though I do think he remains the favorite — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Still: Democrats usually do better on Election Day in Arizona. Maybe that won't be true this year. But legitimately worth watching — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Correction: Trump up 1.8 in the Arizona early vote. The 6 and the 8 looked together to me at this hour. My apologies. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We have Trump as a slight favorite in both Michigan and Pennsylvania, Clinton as a slight fav in WI. She needs all three. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Probably the best thing for Clinton is that she is indeed holding down Trump's margin in Waukesha County. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump is only ahead by 1.9 points in the popular vote. Clinton has a very good chance to win the popular vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

How to think about this election: white working class voters just decided to vote like a minority group. They're >40% of the electorate. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The networks could call Ohio for Trump at any point, according to our estimates https://t.co/1C7MohyjvK — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We don't project results, but we do believe that Clinton is overwhelmingly likely to win Virginia. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump is favored in our forecast for the first time tonight, and all year. https://t.co/s5GPHN8Tit — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And, if anything, I would say that this overstates Clinton's chances in the Upper Midwest. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This is a true toss-up. https://t.co/g00fSV2j75 https://t.co/0C1ayTEic2 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton, in my view, is in serious danger in Wisconsin and Michigan. Not very clear what's going on in PA. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm told that someone has called Michigan for Clinton. That's preposterous. She's in serious trouble there as well. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The early Wisconsin results--perhaps unrepresentative--are all great for Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tom_stackpole yes — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump doing better than Romney in the counties in red. White working class breaks big for Trump https://t.co/tSCazg1oRA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Clinton holds an 8 point lead in Jefferson County, Colo. That state still leans her way. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Looks like Trump will outdo Romney in Palm Beach County, home to the mar-a-lago — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This is going to be a long night. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's no battleground state where Latino voters could do more for Clinton. Yet every gain she made was canceled out. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If you want to understand how Trump could be so competitive, this is how: https://t.co/SAemQ27N6i — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The big question in Florida is: just how much vote is left in South Florida? We don't know https://t.co/mGcmWrgk2E — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump running well ahead of Romney in rural America. It will keep Michigan and Pennsylvania close. https://t.co/lQ1nMFpW27 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If there's a lot more--or less--vote in Southeast Florida than we believe, it makes a big difference. We just don't know — PolitiTweet.org