Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

White turnout increased across the board: White Dems: 68.5 ('12) -> 71.1% ('16) White Reps: 73.6 -> 76.3% White Unaf.: 60.8 -> 65.7% — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Young black turnout key. Black turnout: 18-25: 60.8% ('12) -> 46.6% ('16) 26-41: 62.7% -> 54.4% 41-65: 76.3 -> 72.5% 66+: 76.1 -> 76.4% — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonkimball that's why we're comparing among completed counties — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That's driven by both a decrease in black turnout and higher white turnout: 2016: W turnout (% RV) 71.1%, B 64.2% 2012: W 68.4%, B 69.8% — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Most of NC vt history is updated (missing Durham, a few others) In completed counties: 2016: White 72.8, Black 20 2012: W 72.3, B 22.3 (1/x) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tbonier @b_schaffner @monkeycageblog Catalist models voters who don't report their race, so black pct will be higher than state — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @samsteinhp: Wow. The Clinton Foundation was set to offer access to Clinton during inauguration in exchange for $1m donations https://t.… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

"Overwhelming" If anyone congratulated him on his overwhelming victory, you'd assume they were making fun of him https://t.co/WTp0BvUrAj — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@allahpundit yes — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @daveweigel: Situation in NC has convinced me that if an R ever wins the pop vote but loses the Electoral College, the EC will be abolis… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I assume these Bernie electors would have overturned the result of the Dem primary *and* the general election https://t.co/w7U6srZHZu — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Great job, Washington. https://t.co/w7U6srZHZu — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If only Upshot staff home states could vote https://t.co/2Xg7uypOTr — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @mikeroman: #Bernie vote. https://t.co/iy8vth1vSc — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mfjak sort of, in theory. but it just happens to have nothing to do with the world we live in, and it can work the other way — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

"Trump would have won the popular vote if you remove California [1 in every 8 Americans]" is one of the least compelling things I've read — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Whatever danger conservatives face from "Imperial California" is matched by the threat of "Imperial Appalachafornia… https://t.co/jgc1UDNBxq — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Whatever danger conservatives face from "Imperial California" is matched by the threat to liberals from "Imperial Appalachafornia" https://t.co/Z6K2jqiDvd — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Hesiod2k11 depends on how you do it. it's possible no one would get a majority and it goes to the GOP controlled House — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

How would Clinton have done in the Electoral College if every state was worth their population? The same https://t.co/aO9YNM5tE7 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@smittyd060 https://t.co/GmdmKAhBPg — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Don't blame California, or the system's bias against big states, for the electoral-popular vote split. https://t.co/aO9YNM5tE7 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@samswey we'll find out, but that's an assumption not a fact — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@TankMenzies @samswey they're >40% of the electorate. It's a lot of power! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@samswey only if you assume there's no room for them to do worse — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini yes--though at least in this case the map is based on the polls. It isn't independently wrong — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Kind of fun https://t.co/DdoHwEv3ad — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Huh. https://t.co/ILRZlKK5f8 https://t.co/hlCC0Ls9WT — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini i can't prove it, of course, but i think if i made a 'trump wins' map on 11/6, it would have looked a lot like the result — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini i think i disagree. i think this was basically the only way for trump to do well. — PolitiTweet.org