Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@seth_b_samuels @AaronBlake If you want to argue for partisan balance as a criteria, go for it--but that's not wor… https://t.co/jKDolldFdn — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@seth_b_samuels @AaronBlake I disagree--that's not the criteria likeliest to be used by nonpartisan commissions — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @alexis_levinson: On only Saturday of early vote, 45 min to 1 hr wait at E Cobb Cty polling place, per official here. 1st day this site… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DarrenFelipe Dem in this case — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@conorsen @B_M_Finnigan i'd drive all the way to the milton if that's what it took — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@conorsen @B_M_Finnigan i'd just vote to get them to stop — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@accommodatingly Over all, our estimate--which is a little rough--is that Clinton got 17% of Republicans here. More than 20% in Dekalb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mfjak if ossoff isn't running ahead of price, voter for voter, i highly doubt turnout will save him — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@accommodatingly Absolutely--I've even encountered many on Twitter who lasted voted in a GOP primary (verified it)… https://t.co/CFLhaKfmeH — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@atlsportscholar a combination of survey data, voter file data and the results are used to estimate the probability… https://t.co/3kNMCtLkts — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For instance, our estimate is that Clinton would have won today's D+5 vote by 19 points in November (and 26 pts in early vote so far) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But keep in mind that a GOP electorate, by primary vote, doesn't actually mean a bad electorate for Dems. Trump won by 2 in R+20 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

3) We're at the point where the remaining reliable voters are so GOP that it would be tough for them not to overtake Ds, at least in Fulton — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

2) There is Saturday voting tmro, including new Dekalb/Cobb sites. That's generally a good day for Dems, but who knows in a special — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A few shifts are coming up: 1) New sites in Dekalb/Cobb. Until now, most sites/voting has been in Fulton. Should boost totals — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Day 10 of in-person ev in GA-6 is D 43, R 38, highest turnout day yet across board. Over all, D 51 R 32 with 17871… https://t.co/s6UULX68JH — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Nate_Cohn: @PatrickSvitek @BetoORourke Correct answer is: "I am sick and tired of hearing about the damn 2016 dem primary!" https://t.c… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickSvitek @BetoORourke Correct answer is: "I am sick and tired of hearing about the damn 2016 dem primary!" https://t.co/hTt4kfTXUp — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @daveweigel: NEWS: Dem Jim Thompson’s campaign in #KS04 says the NRCC ad, which hits him on abortion, is getting pulled for including fa… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @seattletimes: BREAKING: Seattle Mayor Ed Murray is being sued over claims of child rape and molestation. Full story: https://t.co/33L7w… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @peytoned: @Nate_Cohn Another gem from the GA GOP in the #GA6th https://t.co/QguceNtaKY — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@B_M_Finnigan @markos @jbarro @NickRiccardi @conorsen i think we all agree then--i think they're trying to make sur… https://t.co/PDO6raetjN — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NickRiccardi @B_M_Finnigan @jbarro @conorsen idk that the dems should do anything other than maybe send a GOTV mai… https://t.co/Q27VlaZYn0 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@B_M_Finnigan @jbarro @NickRiccardi @conorsen i don't buy that they send ted cruz in to avoid a 12 pt win. you send… https://t.co/pUUnf6By0v — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Morten15 national dems can't do much, esp if dems are already energized. maybe they can send gotv mailers. but that's it — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jbarro @NickRiccardi @B_M_Finnigan @conorsen to me, the timing and type of spending says 'doing due diligence on t… https://t.co/O3cR49Zlz1 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jbarro @NickRiccardi @B_M_Finnigan @conorsen but a 12 point race independent of turnout would be surprising here, so idk. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jbarro @NickRiccardi @B_M_Finnigan @conorsen strictly based on behavior, i'd guess they think it's a 12 point race… https://t.co/vnjPuZr8wo — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NickRiccardi @jbarro @B_M_Finnigan @conorsen i'd be very surprised if they're spending 100k or so to win by 20 and… https://t.co/1rql6gMxnS — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BroDoYouLeft @jbarro i wouldn't be putting much into it, either — PolitiTweet.org