Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Ossoff's attrition should probably slow down a bit now that so much of Cobb County is in, but still tracking toward a 48/48.5 type finish — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @alexis_levinson: but Ossoff's election night party is legit a bar mitzvah with a cash bar. Ppl are dancing, smiling, hugging. #GA06 htt… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We still look on track for both this level of turnout and support for Ossoff, based on completed precincts https://t.co/D4PV9c9Cby — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Based exclusively on the 41 ~completed precincts: I'd guess we're on track for 190k, Ossoff at 48. A real MoE on both. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Basically, the completed precincts--now around 20--suggest that Ossoff held up okay in the Election Day vote, but EDAY vote was huge. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A few more election day precincts make it look like more we're on track for a long night, potentially bigly turnout. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We're going to be here for a while — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

They also show very high turnout--on track for something that most would have discounted, like 180k. Again, could be unrepresentative. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There are 6 precincts where the vote is done. If the drop held elsewhere, it would be enough for Ossoff. We'll see if it's representative. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Here's our 'Clinton' estimate v. the actual early vote. Will take a while for the GOP to roll this back, if they do https://t.co/NnSKBjlCkZ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well, the Election Day vote better be great for the GOP. Because the early vote is simply much better than expected… https://t.co/H6QY3PObH1 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jbarro 49.4 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Ossoff at 57% in the Cobb County early vote. That's more impressive than the DeKalb tally. Ossoff on track for 2/3 of the EV — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@conorsen this is really just the election day vote? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Turnout is near midterm levels in these DeKalb precincts, which is going to raise the burden even higher on the GOP in Cobb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's going to be a long night. This is not what the GOP is looking for. https://t.co/MpafZP4yP1 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Including ev, it's Ossoff at 52.6--just ahead of Clinton, maybe a tick lower than hopes. But turnout is huge. https://t.co/hYLmdaSN4Y — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@conorsen or is it separate — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@conorsen does this include early vote — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It'll be interesting to see outside of DeKalb, but at least here Ossoff is getting more than what he needs https://t.co/1prXwRHKUW — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If you're not following the results on the NYT page, you're making a YUGE mistake. Believe me. https://t.co/RduSDaSL5Z — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

No, I have no idea what Ossoff "needs" on Electon Day or the Early Vote. Why? I really have no idea what the final turnout will be. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Ossoff running ahead of our Clinton support estimate basically everywhere in DeKalb https://t.co/svAouVoykr — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Ossoff at 71% of the in-person early vote in DeKalb. Puts Ossoff on track for ~61% of the in-person vote, by our estimates. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Maybe a little more useful than this map. Est. Clinton share of two-party vote among '17 early voters... DeKalb 67.1, Fulton 55.8, Cobb 49.4 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @alexburnsNYT: We are LIVE CHATTING the Georgia results >> @Nate_Cohn @maggieNYT @jonathanweisman & me https://t.co/In68d6q3O5 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The polls are about to close in GA-6. Expect Ossoff to fare well in the early vote. Our estimate is Clinton won tho… https://t.co/VC8LpyFH60 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

NYT results page for GA-6 includes precinct map from SOS, plus the AP count https://t.co/RduSDaSL5Z — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Basically https://t.co/fFn8PlTjei — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cartoon_soldier @ForecasterEnten if it's accurate, it would put us on track for around 135-140k. OTOH, these estim… https://t.co/XCSwbXHULP — PolitiTweet.org