Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @Wertwhile @naufalsanaullah @conorsen @JoeGodwin otoh, a party trying to win the swing vote of rich area… https://t.co/e0C4hEQj1c — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Phillibustering: @Nate_Cohn I've seen it before, cc: @ACLU https://t.co/al6bWJ0ftI — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I don't know that I've seen this before--a check mark, too https://t.co/nvyEz3sOIs — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

No new GA-6 take from me--these thoughts from 3 weeks ago still hold. Not surprising that it's competitive https://t.co/morSqwhgZA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well, hope you're excited to do this all over again in two months. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Ossoff now at 48.3 percent with 189k reporting. 25 precincts, ~11k votes left — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

They turned out like they did https://t.co/lC7BDpWNre — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Adding all the candidates together: R 50.49, D 49.41 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's possible there are ~1500 heavily Democratic mail-in ballots that aren't included (haven't checked), but not enough to avoid a runoff. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's around 15k GOP-leaning vote left. I'd guess that brings him down to around 47.7 when it's all through. https://t.co/E6gk3b7Ndr — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Big update puts Ossoff at 48.6 percent with 183k votes counted. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

... https://t.co/OXxGqEZ5LR — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @conorsen: I-85 now only the second-most broken piece of infrastructure in Fulton County. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We didn't care about it at the time, but Georgia was pretty bad in November as well https://t.co/CU80IV1faz — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Come on, Fulton. I'm going to get a beer — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Redistrict @conorsen Fulton's mail vote looks basically the same as DeKalb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Redistrict @conorsen that will probably net ossoff something near 1000 votes, maybe more — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@conorsen sorry, i meant at least in dekalb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@conorsen i think the mail-in vote is in--at least in Fulton. But it's extremely Democratic, more so than the IPEV — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@conorsen are those not counted? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Cobb is done. Ossoff at 50.3% with 55k in Fulton County left. Our guess he gets 45%; needs 49. Seems small, but ver… https://t.co/ySclJaXDZH — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Here's the vote counted and our estimate for what's left (Fulton) https://t.co/l38T7ISTj5 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That's getting in the range where it's worth checking in on the cumulative .8 percent going to non-Ossoff Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I don't know if I noticed when this happened, but Ossoff at 48.7 percent in our estimate--which is a little higher than it has been/was — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini i kind of took the opposite lesson on this one — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@rkahne at this point the main reason i don't is bc of tweets like this — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@stormforceman21 these are completed areas — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Also possible that Handel is making bigger inroads into Ossoff in Fulton than elsewhere, in which case he could fall further. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One reason I don't think Ossoff crashes into the mid-40s: I'd expect a smaller eday/early split in Fulton, bc of worse Ossoff early vote — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I don't see this. What are you seeing? Ossoff is generally ahead of Clinton in completed areas… https://t.co/1jE7L5T2V3 — PolitiTweet.org