Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

.@PatrickRuffini By our estimates, Trump would have won GA-6 by 10.5 points if the electorate only included those r… https://t.co/rif8EioxMc — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

.@PatrickRuffini Nationally, demographic change is pretty slow. In some states, it can be notably quick. But in som… https://t.co/np2LN5xNA0 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One thing that I've sort of overlooked, but that @PatrickRuffini reminded me of: the pace of demographic shift in GA-6 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini and that's 2 party vote fwiw — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini yeah, it's the est. 2016 vote at the top of the table you tweeted — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini the 'd' and 'r' buckets on right are >80% Trump and >80% Clinton — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PatrickRuffini yes; chart on right is modeled clinton support — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Darius41849691 (Asian is in other) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Darius41849691 no, https://t.co/poHy7YpQXK — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@numanmyname that's about as excited as young people get in a non presidential election — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I guess a well-educated, metropolitan and secular group of nonwhite recent immigrants is kind of peak-anti-Trump https://t.co/hIgq8oi9Yf — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@IChotiner until you scroll up — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

(it was still lower than white turnout in absolute terms, to be clear) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Asian turnout was highest after controlling for vote history, party, etc. I think it's the first time I've seen that https://t.co/DQljr5pVHN — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Alex_Roarty to be fair, you don't get 49 in this district and 46 in KS-4 without both — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Adding the age/race/demographics of voters into the equation (right chart) makes the Dem advantage a little weaker,… https://t.co/B872dRykfd — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The bad news for Democrats: this was a midterm electorate. Old and white, even if Dems showed up big. https://t.co/FtP2YNYeMi — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Even so, Republican primary vote outnumbered Dems by a 52-29% margin. Ossoff probably won 15-20 of past GOP voters; 2/3 of no primary vote — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Over all, Democratic primary voters were 4 pts likelier to vote than Republicans. That's very unusual.… https://t.co/WY73hNDOHc — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Democratic turnout for Jon Ossoff surpasses GOP, midterm levels in GA-6 special election https://t.co/KJeNuIGctJ https://t.co/HiwiL6PO3X — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MattSaccaro: Just got served an ad with a swastika in it. Thanks, Facebook! https://t.co/prd1Qlvgmw — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We choose to go to the moon, if not in this decade then at least by 2024. Because it's easy. Believe me. https://t.co/X1IpJS9nkD — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Dems could use some favorable retirements to take the House--this would be one https://t.co/Bo2tVAMZZk — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Macron has taken the lead in the official count, with most of the Paris area yet to report. He has a big lead there in early returns — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

First votes from Paris--two communes near city center: Macron 44, 41; Le Pen 3.5, 4.9 (in 5th) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@richardmskinner $$ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Not much out of the Paris area yet--none from Paris proper--but Le Pen generally near just 10% in outer areas, sometimes <5% west of city — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Melanchon not endorsing Macron yet feels somewhat reminiscent of Bernie refusing to concede to/endorse Clinton for a month — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mrianleslie dallas and houston voted for clinton, too — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@numanmyname Istanbul, specifically, would have been decisive in a hypothetical Turkish Electoral College — PolitiTweet.org