Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@lxeagle17 @Redistrict @davidshor @gelliottmorris idk what you mean by 'magnitude'--all i'll say is that i know what a mean-median gap of 13 pts in AL means, and i have no idea what a JTC of 2 means unless you do the work to demonstrate it — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@lxeagle17 @Redistrict @davidshor @gelliottmorris to justify the sacrifice in interpretability, you need a case that it's better than the 'digestible' measure — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@lxeagle17 @Redistrict @davidshor @gelliottmorris if they have the same output, i'd think that's hurts the case for the JTC much more than it helps — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Redistrict @lxeagle17 @davidshor @gelliottmorris (and i'd encourage a similar effort for any other proposed measure in this space) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Redistrict @lxeagle17 @davidshor @gelliottmorris the useful exercise that i haven't gotten around to doing, but maybe will, is demonstrating that these measures have external validity (ie: controlling for who draws the map, precinct/county mean-median gap predicts CD mean-median) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Redistrict @lxeagle17 @davidshor @gelliottmorris i've tweeted about this before, but i think the digestable measure (with correct output) is: --precinct and/or county mean-median gap; --proportion of precincts/counties backing cand x. had some examples in a CA thread from a month or two ago — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ConorDougherty: Here’s a story I wrote about Spokane, Washington. It was supposed to be the next affordable city, but it’s already too… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden's approval rating now as low as Trump's at this stage of his presidency https://t.co/sh849b9Ndp https://t.co/2iglXLcsaw — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Neil_Irwin: You absolutely love to see it. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jbarro @Wertwhile cook D+4 ~= 538 D+8 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DuckhornTree @InterestingEh @Redistrict and they definitely can't both crack the triad and guilford--there'd at least be a chance they could get this configuration, which treats greensboro and winston-salem as separate metropolitan areas (per census def) but doesn't bust guilford/greensboro https://t.co/7e60Ww6hmL — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@DuckhornTree @InterestingEh @Redistrict not my website, but as dave said: i do not think they'll accept a map that blatantly cracks the triad — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@InterestingEh @Redistrict different map — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@KevinQ imitation is the highest form of praise! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Just another job posting: "Oversee and coordinate the development, testing and production of our election night live model, known as ‘the needle’" https://t.co/mrWY7LUmnC — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Both yield five Democratic-leaning CDs along with two new highly competitive districts near the statewide vote. I don't see a shp so I can't be too definitive on the metrics (including whether Biden won 6 CDs), but it's as fair or fairer than the last map that the court accepted — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The two new proposed NC congressional maps today won't earn rave reviews from redistricting art critics, but they would have a very real chance to pass legal muster by typical partisan fairness measures. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @peterbakernyt: Despite Russian statements, US and NATO say they see no signs of significant troop pullback even as Ukraine is targeted… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MaioccoNBCS: Football is back in Los Angeles! https://t.co/mILsHV3MuW — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @emilymbadger: Welcome to the pandemic-era subdivision, where new homes are nearly complete, but many are missing their garage doors: ht… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @LucasTersigni: Ottawa reporters today https://t.co/suhJQdEQ1F — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This has been true for decades, and also probably less true than it's ever been https://t.co/dR7pINTsjf — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @kwcollins: What are the most interesting current research questions on primary elections? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @JChengWSJ: How the host country managed to field a national team of mostly foreign nationals—despite IOC rules that require competitors… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @PollsAndVotes: Curious how education, age and 2020 election skepticism are related to vaccination status WITHIN party ID. Rather than… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @HotlineJosh: 👀 "Dr. Anthony Fauci told the Financial Times he hoped there would be an end to all pandemic-related restrictions in the… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jmartNYT: If there was any doubt left on how Dems see this issue moving, here’s the @dccc chair 👇 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @IChotiner: New piece: I wrote about the journalist Vicky Ward and Vanity Fair, and why allegations about Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Polls show signs that the public's resolve to fight the coronavirus is waning, with the balance of recent surveys showing the desire to return to normalcy rising to match or exceed support for COVID restrictions https://t.co/mjcakshCL5 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Polls show signs that the public's resolve to fight the coronavirus is waning, with the balance of recent surveys showing the desire to return to normalcy rising to match or exceed support for COVOID restrictions https://t.co/mjcakshCL5 — PolitiTweet.org