Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If the line for Bloomberg in tomorrow's Monmouth poll is at 5.5, are you taking the over or under — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

What's the line for Bloomberg in tomorrow's Monmouth poll? 5.5? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @wilsonandrews: We are also looking for talented front-end developers to help build election graphics, the most popular thing on https:/… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @NYTInteractive: NYT's newsroom nerds (which includes @nytgraphics, @nytdesign, @nytinteractive and @upshotnyt) are seeking some electio… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @KevinQ: Some new NYT election/graphics jobs have just been posted. One even includes the most satisfying activity known to humankind: "… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There was that Marquette poll with Trump ahead in WI that would have gone into the field not long after that point — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Interesting https://t.co/Mwh78DHu3u https://t.co/PVuIAGHp08 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PollsAndVotes maybe it's the exams that should be delayed a day! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PollsAndVotes you're saying that we have to wait a day longer because of some exams? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

SEA winning tonight is certainly a big IF, but if all win out this week 17 matchup is incredible — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Has there ever been a 13-3 wild card? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Has there ever been a week 17 matchup where the stakes for both teams was #1 seed v wild card? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And since I'm not sure this was clear: I don't mean phase out landline-only sampling and adding cells, I mean going to 100% cell for voters under age 45 or whatever — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrianStryker like what percentage of your dials under 40 are to landlines? 35? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And since I'm not sure this was clear: I don't mean phase out landline-only sampling and adding cells, I mean going to 100% cell — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrianStryker right, and i'm asking whether you'd consider just dropping it altogether at this point if it's down to 3% of your under 40 completes (we were at 2% in this last wave of polling) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrianStryker i mean whether you're intentionally pulling cell-only sample for some age under X — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The case for it seems pretty straightforward to me. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Any RBS telephone pollsters out there who have considered phasing out landline sampling for voters under age 40 or 45 or so? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jmartNYT: NEW: Two months till Iowa, the chess match is on https://t.co/sbwU7JDYPQ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@AstorAaron right. partially a reflection of quality of the firms, partially a reflection of added difficulty estimating educational composition of RVs (usually the frame for state polls) v. adults (frame for national polls) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@JasonPremo i believe that all but 1 of the final national polls in the RCP average was weighted by education — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@AstorAaron national polls were weighted by education — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

National polls would have been 4 pts farther left in '16--putting Clinton up 8 in final polls--if they had not been weighted by education https://t.co/HzwTpfq75Y https://t.co/KCvtCfuzDo — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jmartNYT: Also: the biggest emerging story in Iowa right now may be @amyklobuchar positioning herself to be the compromise pick for m… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And one last one: how all non-Sanders/Warren/Biden voters --including Beto/Harris, since this was in Oct--break in the various matchups: Biden 85, Trump 7 Sanders 79, Trump 9 Warren 77, Trump 10 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Some of you may recall that neither Clinton nor Sanders could breach 51% v. Trump among *Dem primary voters* in the West Virginia exit poll in 2016! Extreme case, but there's a less extreme and smaller version of this just about everywhere with a closed primary https://t.co/ryrqS33mPU — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I see a fair number of people surprised by the folks who choose Trump over who they support in a Dem primary. Remember that some GOPers will vote in a Dem primary in open states; some reg Dems who have turned Trump/GOP are stuck voting in the Dem primary in closed states — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And in a Sanders v Trump match up Biden supporters: Sanders 83, Trump 6 (no vote 3) Warren supporters: Sanders 93, Trump 2 Sanders supporters: Sanders 96, Trump 2 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And I meant Biden 84, Trump 6 for the Sanders supporters — PolitiTweet.org