Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Bernie Sanders leads in our new Times/Siena poll of Iowa Sanders 25 Buttigieg 18 Biden 17 Warren 15 @jmartNYT and @melbournecoal with the story https://t.co/3RXP1CqrvI — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I went back and decided to learn the truth for myself. I’d say 1) there’s one spot where people are on the right tr… https://t.co/SgO38un7ke — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I have genuinely enjoyed reading the replies attempting to decode the colors — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Also, "don't know" is rendered here as a candidate — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now you'll be really upset to learn that I've rendered all 997 respondents who we asked about the Dem race, regardless of whether they passed our screen into the Dem caucus universe (n=584), which itself is before weighting (both to RVs, and for relative likelihood of turnout) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

lol not even I know what the colors mean, folks. It's random assignment and I couldn't guess any candidate-color relationship with confidence, even though I know the regional breakdowns and so on — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ETTC19 good luck — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Times/Siena, 5AM, n=584 https://t.co/mnSW7edxpB — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I kind of jokingly referred to them as MMA populists back in November and I think there's something to it. It's not a group we typically think of in the swing voter category, but it is a component of why Sanders outran Warren in our general election polling — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Rogan endorsement for Sanders today has me coming back to this article, which notes a persuadable group of voters who might be important for Bernie's general election path: young, often non-col men who aren't conservative but are not woke https://t.co/dtH06tM6td — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Historically, these kind of questions--who is attacking who and on what--can really shape the late movement in primaries/caucuses. So much so that it was pretty easy to anticipate that Bernie would lead Iowa in early January, given that Warren/Buttigieg were fighting in early Dec — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Instead, if anyone's had the opportunity to go on offense, it's Bernie--on Iraq and Social Security. It's a pretty coveted tactical position to be trending upward and even taking the lead, while getting to go on offense — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To me, the notable fact is that the campaigns largely decided to avoid going after Bernie in the last debate, given the upward trend already evident to that point, including a lead in the DMR Iowa poll. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think it's hard to say, in part because we had such a long polling drought from 12/15-1/10 and because Sanders ha… https://t.co/8mKytSKhKZ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @skoczela: The first part of our new NH Democratic Primary poll for @WBUR is now posted, shows big gains for Sanders since December. -S… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @PFF: Russell Wilson is PFF's MVP @PFF_Sam: https://t.co/B4NQvH8aqG — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Bernie had basically no shot at winning the nomination in 2016. Four years later, the obstacles he faces are signif… https://t.co/zQZMbLX5EE — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A lot to like about Bernie's position right now. Split in the polls on his standing in Iowa seems like the big question-mark — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I've been mulling--without a strong conclusion--whether Buttigieg would fade down the stretch in Iowa. This… https://t.co/ftFeyPeDnR — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MonmouthPoll: COMING TOMORROW: National voter poll on the #2020Dem nomination for president. PLUS @realDonaldTrump reelection and vote… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @SPotterGA: All polls conducted for the AJC will be weighted for education from now on. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And since there's a bit of confusion, the "good news" is that the poll is weighted by education, not the specific result. What I tweeted about their last poll: https://t.co/3oIuL95sp8 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In a positive bit of polling news, the AJC poll is now weighted by education. The college educated share of RVs is down 26 points from their last poll, and Trump's approval rating is up 8 points https://t.co/sYitcrW72K — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ryanstruyk: A key number buried in new @CNN poll --> Trump's approval rating by enthusiasm to vote in the 2020 election: Extremely en… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

My favorite security guard! She worked weekends during the run up to the midterms. This is really great to see — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @AsteadWesley: explaining to 58,000 ppl today that im not on the editorial board and idk anything https://t.co/eyJZkHDPZp — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @derekwillis: Regular reminder that billionaires could spend this much or more of their own money on elections since way before Citizens… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @katiekings: The @nytimes editorial board tonight announced we are endorsing Senators Amy Klobuchar and Elizabeth Warren for the Democra… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Joe_Fann: The NFL has to be secretly hoping that the Seahawks beat the Packers right? I can’t imagine that anybody, except for Niners f… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

When we polled Maine-2 just after the Kavanaugh vote, Susan Collins' approval rating was running 34 points ahead of the president and Bruce Poliquin https://t.co/Vl4usOQMer — PolitiTweet.org