Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Interestingly, our analysis from the summer made Texas the tipping point in a full turnout election (at least for t… https://t.co/U9qKYEc5p5 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

At this point, no one should be surprised to see the president's approval in a similar spot in Texas and Wisconsin… https://t.co/6Ocf3OVVgM — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump approval at -3 in TX among RVs, per CNN/SSRS. Biden+1 Trump+2 v. Sanders https://t.co/pruc4GGnAd — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So don't take this to mean that an SC win means we go back to Biden 28, Sanders 21 or whatever the national polls w… https://t.co/e9pS6gd4lk — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now, I think there's probably some permanent damage to Biden, especially because so much of his strength hinges on electability. Sanders is also stronger in a lasting way, as well. And I think a Biden SC win is more broadly anticipated than a Biden fourth place was showing in IA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think there's something to this. Just look at the national poll average chart. Post-IA, Biden effectively immedia… https://t.co/7LepSgWMRM — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ShaneGoldmacher: The Warren super PAC has now announced $14+ million in spending to date — with all of the donors hidden from public vi… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

SC is one a few states--GA, NC, LA, IA, being others--where you can check this data out for yourself on the interne… https://t.co/b5pwkSfFSb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Those are exit poll figures. Exit polls are polls, and they're often biased toward overstating the youth share of t… https://t.co/HkSRMsoPmv — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In 2016, 65-plus made up 32 percent of the SC Democratic primary electorate. 18 to 24 year olds were... 2 percent. https://t.co/u58xaLVTR6 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ShaneGoldmacher: NEW: Warren super PAC plunges $9 MILLION into Super Tuesday states. Warren likely now has the biggest super PAC of th… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MediumBuying: UPDATE: Steyer is now dark in AR, TN and VA https://t.co/pOiJua0eJ3 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Election year "tribalism" is a factor, but there's no shortage of easy explanations: the economy, finally dispatchi… https://t.co/nqAFcL5Sjz — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It is quite possible that Sanders is fairly average presidential candidate in terms of 'electability' but that no o… https://t.co/R0m9eGUApo — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MULawPoll: Trump job approval: 48% approve of the job he is doing, 48% disapprove. This the first @mulawpoll since Trump took office in… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Dems better hope this is intra-party, primary-related and reversible collateral damage https://t.co/zQ6wIgwyfx — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Sanders getting some decent general election numbers out of WI/PA today could help him push back a bit on the elect… https://t.co/lmbToU70IC — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MULawPoll: Head to head matchups in the February poll: Klobuchar 46% and Trump 46%. Sanders 48% and Trump 46%. Warren 44% and Trump 47%… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MULawPoll: Head to head matchups in the February poll: Biden 46% and Trump 46%. Bloomberg 44% and Trump 45%. Buttigieg 45% and Trump 45… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @cwarshaw (as part of their outreach to journalists) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@sjclermont @jon_m_rob @cwarshaw worked with those AJC polls! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @cwarshaw it would, especially if they want to defend the state of polling as part of that outreach, which they seem to — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw @jon_m_rob you would be stunned by the number of pollsters who just aren't aware of these issues — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kwcollins A wall could stop corona — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Will be interesting https://t.co/gBkFmRm1pU — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think that if you have zero money/organization that you'd rather SC be 3 days from Super Tuesday than 2 weeks https://t.co/W6Ru5jW92g — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If Biden won SC big though, perhaps he'd have a claim to the McCain '08 mantle--retreating to his base early state… https://t.co/RNy3q6ukka — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A few times over the last six months or so I've analogized Bernie to McCain '08: fell behind over the summer, snuck… https://t.co/oMgLrgbh2s — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now that there are suddenly a bunch of polls showing Biden up big, it's worth emphasizing the caveats in the other… https://t.co/FT4VFhkfZG — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Not only is the topline number in this Monmouth poll very good for Biden, but the sample is pretty young https://t.co/sWkLiQvt24 — PolitiTweet.org