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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@EvolvingWild cc: @KevinQ — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@EvolvingWild i've avoided it for, what, 6 years simply to defy the people on twitter--ggmonsters, i call them--who think i should use it — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Pretty clear turnout story at the county level in SC, where turnout was basically flat in areas where nearly all Cl… https://t.co/aSu7uCOdQ7 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
and while you might assume i'm referring to 'buttigieg,' the 100% truth is that i really struggled to spell... peet? peat? i'm tired. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
pete's out of the race for like two hours and i can't remember how to spell his name already — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
All anecdotal of course, but I've got a lot of text messages tonight from friends out West telling that their paren… https://t.co/t8MODeXC1Z — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @jmartNYT: The @PeteButtigieg second choice polls from a few days ago aren’t worth much in this environment — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @samstein: Joe Biden can now run as the youngest male candidate left in the field. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @AsteadWesley: a massive L for Iowa in a month full of them — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
It's also decent news for Warren. I don't understand her path forward at this point, but it can help her carry MA a… https://t.co/IVOtxStgsx — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Many stronger Buttigieg states--ME, CO, UT--were also states where Biden was in jeopardy of not hitting 15%. Even… https://t.co/SprQT5YiP9 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Plenty of consequences here. Good news for Biden, obviously. Might also help get a few more candidates over that ma… https://t.co/XgW7fdTuxE — PolitiTweet.org
Reid J. Epstein @reidepstein
NEWS: Pete Buttigieg is heading to South Bend to announce he will suspend his campaign.
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @reidepstein: NEWS: Pete Buttigieg is heading to South Bend to announce he will suspend his campaign. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
The advance vote is quite old, not just here but everywhere. But if advance voters were breaking Biden, it does at… https://t.co/V37ulyZARJ — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
In the end, Biden won the South Carolina early/absentee vote 57 to 13, and won the Election Day vote 47 to 21. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
An NV-type result, say Sanders 35, Biden 20, Warren/Bloom/Pete <15, could give Sanders >60% of the delegates there. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Now what share of delegates will Sanders get in California? That's a big question, and it's sensitive to modest sw… https://t.co/DdRpuMDDjf — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Could Biden extend a surge to Texas? Perhaps. Is it that significant? It would certainly give him needed momentum,… https://t.co/yFSNe7JMiI — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
I say this in part because the other Super Tuesday questions may not prove to be so interesting at this point. How… https://t.co/W3DicsN0NM — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
At this point, the most serious Super Tuesday question is how many candidates breach 15 percent in California, statewide and in most districts, and therefore whether Sanders can pull off a knock out blow — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @ForecasterEnten: Sanders has done better among black voters than white women w/ a coll degree. Last night, Buttigieg (15%), who barely… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Yeah, there were some polls that were inexplicably off on the off wrong planet on this one--sometimes for months https://t.co/tBTf2ouvq7 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Jonathan Robinson))) @jon_m_rob
Biden just overperformed your biased priors in SC because you were basing it on polling assuming an electorate that… https://t.co/XdBSqmyRNa
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
One thing to remember is that there are a lot of polls out there that screen down to self-identified Dem-leaning vo… https://t.co/vZewZjsB3k — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
One thing that has kind of loomed over my thinking on this race is this post, from pre Iowa. Biden did terribly the… https://t.co/o8l9d9u02B — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
We're near the 500,000 voter mark in South Carolina, which easily makes this the largest increase in turnout of any… https://t.co/pg36mdBLEr — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
There are a lot of important differences that I won't dwell on. The point, though, is that this is the kind of resu… https://t.co/KV80oKakFH — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
A different way to frame this: the others really underperformed. It reminds me, in a way, of Cruz in Wisconsin back… https://t.co/KBAfaWJgJP — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
I wouldn't say that Sanders is doing terribly poorly in South Carolina. I think he's doing about as you'd guess, ba… https://t.co/8ZTwsxH7jk — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @AlxThomp: NEWS w/ @ZachMontellaro: Steyer is about to drop out from the race, according to a source w/ direct knowledge. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Some of this, of course, is bc NV was a caucus. And SC is just the biggest state, period. But still, a fine talking… https://t.co/lXUmGCbivA — PolitiTweet.org