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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Making things even worse for Sanders: many of his best states feature three or more candidates with a solid shot to… https://t.co/Lzo61uhzkm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Bernie in danger of falling beneath viability in Alabama https://t.co/7fiFbM01jj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This map, of course, is not the principle evidence for this possibility. But as if you needed to see anything more — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

None of these Democrats are poised to reverse Trump gains in white, rural areas https://t.co/4nxc4rohGj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Arkansas goes to Joe Biden, according to our projections https://t.co/g4NIcsd42c — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Sanders is now only favored in four states, according to our estimates: CA, UT, CO, VT. TX and MA remain highly co… https://t.co/vc8MyIOprg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Oklahoma goes to Biden, according to our projections https://t.co/Cfhl87A0V8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

No surprise that the Biden surge came to a halt in Colorado: it's the state where advance vote made up the largest… https://t.co/cnWMJ8FbXw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Colorado goes to Sanders according to our projections https://t.co/aNLidNfM6f — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden becoming a comfortable favorite in Minnesota according to our estimates, though still need to hear from big p… https://t.co/lLrMnC1seG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The exit poll found--and our pre-election estimates assumed--that the Twin Cities was the worst part of the state f… https://t.co/zWilNcRY0W — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We're looking at a very real possibility that Biden can extend his gains beyond the South to Maine, Mass. and Minn.… https://t.co/lXDT2wgS4t — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden wins Tennessee, according to our projections https://t.co/ZOg69S6dV1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Colorado is the first state where it's really obvious that the Biden surge is going to be tough. It's hard to guess… https://t.co/wZC2QorwaR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The exit poll has Biden ahead in Minnesota, where the needle started out with Sanders favored but has since drifted… https://t.co/C32ncWVRU5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's tough to game this out. On the one hand, this is a good result for Biden compared to our expectations OTOH, ea… https://t.co/c4LqF5m3Uj — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Early vote in Hidalgo Co., TX (largest Hispanic county in Rio Grande Valley): Bloomberg 30% Sanders 26% Biden 21%… https://t.co/yfdWH5naBh

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The needle, which gives Sanders a 51% chance to win, resents the idea that it's so sure https://t.co/dWOn9JhU5F — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, the needle favors Sanders in TX. I'm not so sure...huge variance between early/election day vote makes it tough to handicap.

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

North Carolina now offering a crucial look here as well, with Bloomberg at 18 in these early votes and Biden only a… https://t.co/xoUKeMp6Op — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Hate to read too much into one precinct, but Warren only winning a Brookline, Mass. precinct by 11 is not a promising start for her — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I mean, look at the Bloomberg tallies in these fragmentary counts out of TX/OK/TN right now. He's at 20 or more so… https://t.co/VmTmH11ufc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'd buy this if everywhere voted today, and it may still happen nonetheless, but the early vote is a real problem t… https://t.co/Ml8LKZ2Vg4 — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's a *chance* Biden could effectively end the race with today's results. Still need to see TX/CA, obviously.

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That said, just how badly he was losing the advance vote out West is quite important here. The early vote is usuall… https://t.co/DUS1vIQsZQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden now favored to win the most delegates tonight, according to our estimates, and we're pretty cautious about le… https://t.co/pzvTAnWime — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Given the election day rout in VA, it's quite possible that a Sanders win in TX will need to be by the margin of the advanced vote — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The exit poll also appears to put Elizabeth Warren in third in Massachusetts, though the race is quite competitive https://t.co/T9avbxUaZ5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And indeed, the entrance poll has Biden right at 60%, with Sanders down near 20. Sanders might be in danger of miss… https://t.co/LGGngMY3A9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Alabama goes for Biden, based on exits polls. Just based on the VA results, you'd have to say Biden could be in the 60s in AL. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden at 20% in the first two VT townships; Clinton was under 10 there in '16. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Our precincts results in Virginia show Biden routinely clearing 50% in the DC suburbs and even higher than that in… https://t.co/FZxrSgA04e — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The exit poll here shows a narrower margin than it did in Virginia, with Biden up something more like 44 to 23 https://t.co/CyebcxhgQs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated