Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One county in CA: a) says no mail ballots left; b) has new results since I pulled Weds. It's tiny Amador County, wh… https://t.co/IzihdHj8MB — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, I think do think it's obvious they lean Biden but whether they do so overwhelmingly is not so obvious to me… https://t.co/6QavoPOcJ6 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There's a lot of analysis of how Warren supporters will break but I haven't seen so much data about Bloomberg suppo… https://t.co/qrBCAUmMZt — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ForecasterEnten: In the northern primaries (essentially MW + NE) outside of VT in 2016, Sanders beat Clinton by 16 among whites without… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This SurveyUSA poll, showing Biden+1 in WA, very, very close to what we estimate there based on the Super Tuesday… https://t.co/X8BwPAJLZo — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This is when Sanders really misses caucuses. At this time in prior cycles, insurgent candidates could still win a bunch of caucus states even if they were at a severe national disadvantage. It gave outsiders oxygen and momentum, even in doomed efforts. Not this time. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @cameron_easley: NEW national poll from @MorningConsult: Biden: 54% Sanders: 38% Gabbard: 2% Other: 6% https://t.co/cvCi76565A Among… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Bernie Sanders might have a Michigan problem https://t.co/xfS5sGhBQf — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @KFILE: how did this end up on tv? https://t.co/xUYIOChhKv — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Probably around 3 million, but we'll see https://t.co/zZqlWR1dbw — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This is the big question. Suppose, for instance, that the first ballots counted are those that arrived earliest? If… https://t.co/YEJaScJaNx — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As with everything in CA, you've got to be cautious in interpreting these data. It's from just 11 counties. And I d… https://t.co/Xx5EMVxhiz — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Since about this time last night, there have been an additional 277k votes counted in CA. Those new votes are Sand… https://t.co/WHrs3urnxt — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's back. My interactions today include conspiracists raising questions about the results based on exit polls, at… https://t.co/NWjWh2b0R3 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@CabinetSpace from both parities, i assume? or is that dems only — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @CabinetSpace: @Nate_Cohn They had 686k received on the day of SC, same number on the night of the 2nd, and now have 1.1 million reporte… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Even Washington would have been a tossup without advance vote. I do wonder how many ballots were cast there ahead o… https://t.co/uVMBiIBDVA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Honestly if you use the Super Tuesday data, there's basically nowhere that Sanders is obviously favored at the mome… https://t.co/TQBHQjjdDv — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now, it's worth noting that this doesn't mean the race shifted by 28 points. There could be some strategic delay by… https://t.co/sSz0Vq3uNs — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If you control for demographics in county-level returns from Super Tues., it appears Biden did about 28 points be… https://t.co/ZKnyyryxb1 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A question to mull tonight: where is Sanders favored to win *big.* The caucuses are gone. The western, semi-open primaries with large numbers of Latinos are gone. Where does Sanders run up the score without another massive change in the race? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob ? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

An unexpected benefit to mail voting in Washington state: potentially reducing disease transmission in an outbreak? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Both sides have reason to be hopeful about the late vote, as it's usually quite young and Latino, but also more lat… https://t.co/7LTyWh8vfS — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Be patient in California. It's possible that we're only now up around half of the vote counted. And that patience g… https://t.co/JX7PM3zG4l — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jbview thinking about some way to do this, but the needle basically requires about 24 hr monitoring and we're not… https://t.co/UKIw9eaM8r — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jmartNYT: Perhaps the biggest non-presidential moment of the 2020 cycle is upon is. And after months of saying he would not run, @Gov… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Interesting to compare where our estimates began last night to where the results currently stand. Wonder how much m… https://t.co/npO7Toy26m — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's not useless in our models but it's really not that helpful https://t.co/Cwt7Ur2qXW — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Basically the same as demographically similar VA, where a much larger share of votes were cast on Election Day https://t.co/8Ucl5kzBZ0 — PolitiTweet.org