Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

No, but there are a lot of people who think the Dem path in 2020 is as simple as rerunning 2016 plus higher turnout… https://t.co/TjYnHaAR3y — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A true mystery. The census says it's not that bad. I don't really believe it, and methodologically the intradecadal census estimates aren't well-suited to making a sub-county estimate, like Detroit City https://t.co/hLoKcS0m7T — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Worth noting that the city is in population decline, and so is the number of RVs (though I'd guess the RV drop understates actual decline). But, another sign that the Dems can't count on recovering a bunch of extra voters there, as many post-16 analyses seem to assume — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

At the moment, the raw turnout in the city of Detroit is running lower than it did four years ago, at 113k compared to 127k in '16. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ByMikeBaker: I spent time last night inside the hospital where half of the nation’s 30 coronavirus deaths have occurred. I hope hospita… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A hero https://t.co/BiVPgbGXUh — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So to me, the real takeaway from Sanders '20 isn't just about Sanders '16, it's also that the Democrats are largely… https://t.co/8VkfvUhc1o — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

After all, those folks chose to show up in an open Democratic primary. They could have voted for Trump in the other… https://t.co/erAN0OKzdi — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Fast-forward, and now Sanders has lost his grip on white rural voters. Many of them clearly voted for Trump in the… https://t.co/tddNZRzGwA — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In 2008, Clinton swept the white, working class highland South. Many were reliable Democrats, but they weren't down… https://t.co/JhDxYiTuGy — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jmartNYT: Confirming this, Bernie adviser tells me he’s NOT dropping out today https://t.co/Ols2mX84nU — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @melbournecoal: NEWS: Bernie Sanders to hold 1pm press conference in Burlington about his campaign. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, I think that if the progressive left is open the idea that their defeat was about more than the establishme… https://t.co/6fxX1M4RmX — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And it is worth thinking about the term coalition, which doesn't usually mean "people who support you" but usually… https://t.co/PzdQBp90zx — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I've seen plenty of Berners upset at Warren for not endorsing Sanders, and I get it. But it's really a pretty damni… https://t.co/nwqFoF4xme — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

He did not need to become the establishment favorite. He did need to try and at least make them feel somewhat comfo… https://t.co/soXhsGRsl5 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Third, and perhaps most important is that Sanders made limited effort, throughout the campaign and particularly pos… https://t.co/8hUMS0Gd9D — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Second is that Sanders got bogged down talking about Castro during the post-NV period. For your average 50 year old… https://t.co/cUtxVRWp7m — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Would it have helped? I don't really think so? It certainly didn't help Buttigieg, who really did spend there. But… https://t.co/NIzpffidjy — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One is that Sanders allowed himself to get outspent in South Carolina, despite superior resources. I can imagine th… https://t.co/KkUX4MwYJr — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In the final analysis, "Biden surged" will rightly prevail over "Sanders made mistakes" in evaluating what happened… https://t.co/ysCbUxtGl6 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Meanwhile, Sanders now leads by just 6.7 points in California, as late mail ballots prove stronger for Biden than t… https://t.co/rJOHxK1nXG — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jbview oh i see what you're saying. yeah if you reallocate all of the drop outs, he's probably well over 50. but i… https://t.co/tP32kOD2I4 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jbview it's not easily at all tbh — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'd guess Sanders sits back at around 42% of delegates — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If I had to guess now, I'd guess that Biden has won a majority of pledged delegates awarded to this point in the ra… https://t.co/bJMkKNJDJN — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We'll see where ND lands in the end, but no matter what it seems Sanders fares better in the party run primary form… https://t.co/ICL1oQ8MAp — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A different way to look at it. If no delegates had been awarded, Sanders would need to gain about 20 points to figh… https://t.co/6MsAScdFcW — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @nytgraphics: The national primary map is updated with the results from tonight so far. https://t.co/8Jq4K3Y6e8 https://t.co/hcqjuDz4Xb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I see lots of people talking about the delegate math. And yeah, it's constraining. But the problem for Sanders is t… https://t.co/a1uI07svg2 — PolitiTweet.org