Deleted tweet detection is currently running at reduced
capacity due to changes to the Twitter API. Some tweets that have been
deleted by the tweet author may not be labeled as deleted in the PolitiTweet
interface.
Showing page 208 of 729.
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
That said, you can see where we're polling next https://t.co/XfT3uJD2T2 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Unlike in our FL/PA release, when we had AZ already started heading into the last night of PA/FL interviews, we didn't have another poll under way on Monday to help make this kind of analysis more robust — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
The polls began on Sat., after the president's diagnosis. FWIW, the president's best interviews were yesterday, after he was released from the hospital, controlling for demog. That said, it's always tough to judge one night--let alone the last night, when we're finishing quotas — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in Ohio and Nevada, according to new Times/Siena polls. Biden leads in Ohio by 1 point, 45 to 44 percent. Biden leads in Nevada by 6 points, 48 to 42 percent. https://t.co/GRgZezyAMB — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
In 2016 polling, Trump only led by 2 among those 61 and older, with Clinton ahead among the 61-65 year olds. DK who died, tho https://t.co/gNnWfzemGZ — PolitiTweet.org
Patrick Ruffini @PatrickRuffini
Here's the problem with tRUmP cRaTerING wiTH sENiOrS. The Baby Boom means a lot of people have aged into the 65+… https://t.co/NWBOuUCfy5
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
I will not be https://t.co/SfO7UEBM6p — PolitiTweet.org
Eric McGhee @hezaproject
I would be genuinely surprised if this seat flips, but you never know https://t.co/N7kHmqNWOB
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Well, we buy it from @L2political. But in some states, you can just buy it yourself, including NV. In others, like OH, it's free right here: https://t.co/Kea5gRInHE https://t.co/8iVv1h59jL — PolitiTweet.org
Pundits are always wrong @ArePundits
@Nate_Cohn how do you get access to voter files?
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
In our crosstabs, we're reporting self-reported 2016 recalled vote in the likely electorate. Sometimes, that cut looks *right* and the others don't, and vice versa! — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
In our crosstabs, we're reporting self-reported 2016 recalled vote in the likely electorate. Sometimes, that cut *right* and the others don't, and vice versa! — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Here are a few examples: --2016 recalled vote among all likely voters, including nonvoters --... among all 2016 voters who are *likely* --... among all 2016 voters, like or not. And for each, there are two different definitions of 2016 vote: validated on file or self-reported — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
They're on point in this particular look, but there happen to be a lot of different ways to define this--and they're not always on point! https://t.co/3ifX7QX4HC — PolitiTweet.org
Thomas Biondi @tcb_dna
@Nate_Cohn those recalled votes are scary on-point
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Fully post-diagnosis. Started Saturday AM, ran through last night. https://t.co/cn8SYqoVKN — PolitiTweet.org
Arieh Kovler @ariehkovler
@Nate_Cohn What were the fieldwork dates? Are these all post-diagnosis?
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
I mean, by now you should probably know that you all have very little ability to predict our results based on this information, but: OH: R+3 party ID, Trump+8 in recalled '16 vote NV: D+4 party ID, Clinton+2 in recalled '16 vote https://t.co/WC71lsg77j — PolitiTweet.org
Pundits are always wrong @ArePundits
@Nate_Cohn can you give us a hint?
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
MULaw will be in Wisconsin, more specifically! — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Probably early afternoon; could even be a big 1PM hour with NYT/Siena in OH/NV and Marquette Law in the Midwest https://t.co/odRV5hjbH7 — PolitiTweet.org
Kevin Ken Remedio @binotblabla
@Nate_Cohn what time does the NV and OH poll come out?
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
@Redistrict too extreme and a bit much? not in 2020 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @jon_m_rob: I am also incredibly confident in this heuristic: if a local TV news organization releases a poll with no information or dem… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @maggieNYT: .@anniekarni and me on the latest in a White House where people are simultaneously stunned by the virus outbreak there and y… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
The economy is the *one* issue that voters think the president has handled really well, and here they forfeit a golden opportunity to not only turn the conversation back to it, but add a popular bipartisan accomplishment. It's wild, at least from a political standpoint — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
The economy is the *one* issue that voters think the president has handled really well, and here they forfeit a golden opportunity to note only turn the conversation back to it, but add a popular bipartisan accomplishment. It's wild, at least from a political standpoint — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
In the Times/Siena national poll just a couple of weeks ago, voters overwhelmingly supported a new $2 trillion dollar stimulus package by a 72-23 percent margin. It's just astonishing that a president trailing by 9 points is going to pass on this opportunity — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @fox5dc: #BREAKING: DC reports 105 new coronavirus cases in one day period; highest one-day spike since June https://t.co/zTCXQJ2mRg — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
SurveyUSA is Biden+10, but notes they had Biden+16 in interviews after the president was hospitalized https://t.co/912PsXzd4c — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @nickgourevitch: Here's Nate's point in the crosstabs as Biden overperforms generic ballot across partisan lines: Among Democrats: Bide… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
No hallmarks of nonresponse bias here. Party registration weighted sample, and D+1 by party ID. Another reason this is a particularly tough result for the president: the last Monmouth poll of PA was arguably his best result of the last month — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Joe Biden leads by 11 among likely voters in Pennsylvania, per Monmouth. A terrible result for the president https://t.co/fv0WuBDD8R — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
RT @PoliticsReid: Joe Biden’s campaign kicking off a $5.8m advertising blitz in Texas, beginning today - https://t.co/1YqqbwxgNM — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Tomorrow: NYT/Siena in Ohio and Nevada We'll be posting our schedule for upcoming NYT/Siena polls here for the rest of the cycle https://t.co/FuxTub58ar — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
We're posting our schedule for upcoming Times/Siena polls here for the rest of the cycle, including our next two on Wednesday https://t.co/FuxTub58ar — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Two important state polls over the next few days: today, Monmouth in Pennsylvania, which had some of Trump's best polls of September, including in PA; Weds. I believe we get Marquette Law in Wisconsin, where we haven't had much in a while after a big WI polling run in early Sept — PolitiTweet.org
