Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @maggieNYT: Things that are sketchy in NYP story on Hunter Biden - why wasn’t this in Ron Johnson report if it’s been in possession for… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @shaneharris: NEW: "Unmasking" probe commissioned by Barr quietly concludes without charges or any public report https://t.co/yDk2vdatMv… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@otis_reid they're much more skewed — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @UpshotNYT: A question lots of people are asking right now. https://t.co/8oELXXjSMe — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

lol i suppose we can't rule that out, either https://t.co/JQW51HC0vh — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden+4 and Cunningham+5 in new Monmouth poll of 'high turnout' North Carolina https://t.co/JfyI49Z9iG — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I stand corrected! 416 electoral votes, tho https://t.co/NNz2LhFx7G — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Which state would rather you we polled? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jmartNYT: Putting our money where our mouth is on quality polling If you have enjoyed this, too, pls consider subscribing to the @nyt… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Looking at the states in grey, missing IN/MO in '18 is by far my biggest regret. Thought about it, but backed off once it seemed the GOP was holding the Senate. But given that the other public polls were off there, I wish we could know whether we would have been too — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

With our polls in AK/SC, we'll have conducted at least one poll (including congressional districts) in nearly every state over the last two years https://t.co/clmVwbIzWK — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @JessicaTaylor: 🚨New SENATE RATINGS changes @CookPolitical 🚨 #AKSen: Likely R —> Lean R #TXSen: Likely R —> Lean R #GASen special: Lea… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mikes2start yeah probably not a fun job rn. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In contrast to USC, I'd say these Morning Consult numbers this AM count as some of the president's best numbers in a while, and they don't even really show a change from their pre-debate numbers https://t.co/mlOWUtHZHH — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Looking at the 7 day tracker though, it sure seems like Biden's could keep gaining, even after the debate. Biden's running 6 pts ahead of his standing in the 7 day tracker from 9/29, which ought to be the most comparable date given the 7-day tracker periodicity bias — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden's gains ought to begin to slow once all of the pre-debate interviews are cycled out. It could even begin to decline, if more recent interviews are better for Trump than immediately post-debate. So it'll be a relatively interesting few days for following the USC trends — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's a particularly interesting day to take note of the USC tracker, since it's a two week field-period and it's been two long weeks since the first presidential debate. So today will be the last day, I believe, with any pre-debate data. Biden's lead has grown 3.2 pts since 9/29 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden's lead is up to 12.7 on the USC tracker, his all time high. https://t.co/XBPcqNqgCT — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@TonesHyus @varadmehta the response map is accurate, it's just not designed to let you count up the responses: they're stacked on top of each other in relatively dense areas. anyone can see that. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@TonesHyus @varadmehta no, it's not NYT's poll map by county. it's *your* map, and it's wrong. there are more trump respondents in all three WOW counties, in both weighted and unweighted data — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@TonesHyus @varadmehta lol well *i* don't get this map at the county level! just to start bc it's the first thing i noticed, it's wrong on all three of the suburban counties around milwaukee and i'm not going to keep going — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Redistrict: immediately dive into 2021 redistricting — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And i really do mean that. I think it’s legitimately interesting — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The most interesting thing about our polls over the last month may be that we have a GOP PID edge in PA, WI, MI, FL, AZ and nationwide among LVs — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

you memorize the results of every county and precinct https://t.co/vn7ke00rBJ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Cmkahn: Biden's lead widens a little in WI and PA PA Oct. 7-Oct. 11: Biden+7 Sept.29-Oct. 6: Biden+5 Sept. 11-16: Biden+3 WI Oct. 7-O… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

South Carolina, on the other hand, is turning out to have exceptionally bad productivity--Michigan-level bad. It's very strange how some of these files are just dead. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

South Carolina, on the other hand, is turning out to have exceptionally productivity--Michigan-level bad. It's very strange how some of these files are just dead. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

We're in two states we've never polled in before right now, Alaska and South Carolina. AK is famously challenging, but tbh the first 190 interviews--which I've looked at far more carefully than usual--seem reasonable enough and productivity isn't totally awful so far — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MonmouthPoll: COMING TOMORROW: North Carolina #GeneralElection. In our September poll, @JoeBiden was up by 2 over @realDonaldTrump; @Ca… — PolitiTweet.org