Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Party ID: R+20, 44-24 Recalled vote 2016: Trump+18 (Trump+21 among 2016 voters, 53-32) https://t.co/DrVh5bzz5n — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Today at 1PM, NYT/Siena in Kansas. Our schedule for the rest of the week https://t.co/FuxTub58ar https://t.co/zjx6elzDWq — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Back in 2018, our first poll of KS-03 showed Davids up 8 and I thought--that can't be right. Two years later she's 'safe Dem,' per Cook/@Redistrict. What a shift. https://t.co/5XhvjAV6YI — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

All of these results have been published already, but as there are 2x polls per state in NC/GA, I'll note the cumulative results there: GA: Biden 44.9, Trump 44.9 NC: Biden 45.2, Trump 43 https://t.co/rF6S07Msh1 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Black respondents to Times/Siena polls in the Carolinas and Georgia https://t.co/CUcREL6GgT — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The white Times/Siena respondents in the Carolinas and Georgia https://t.co/udRFlgbjJJ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Times/Siena respondents in the Carolinas and Georgia to this point https://t.co/q5BKhlPSTj — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Redistrict @CookPolitical I think your articles / rating tables need to include the WF v CB count in each district btw. Drop the Cook PVI if you need room — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Redistrict: We've got a dozen more late-breaking House rating changes coming to @CookPolitical tomorrow morning. Stay tuned... — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MediumBuying: UPDATE: The Trump campaign has also canceled TV ad schedules that had been booked in Wisconsin for 10/27 through Election… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ShaneGoldmacher: NEWS: Trump's campaign committee expected to report only **~$63 million** entering Oct. That's about half of what it… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @adamwren: New: @vp will hold a MAGA rally in Ft Wayne at the Aero Center at 4:30 on Thursday. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @LACaldwellDC: NEW: @senatemajldr McConnell told his members in a closed door lunch that he told the White House not to agree to a COVID… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The rest of our targets for the week, as we continue to tour through red-tilting states https://t.co/wwufDYME23 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The big :eyes must go to the Senate races. --Perdue net-favorability rating tanked over the last month, while Ossoff remains at +5 --Warnock has best favs in the survey, and runoff lead isn't due to GOP disunity. He's up 49/45 if you allocate undecideds by presidential vote — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The big :eyes must go to the Senate races. --Perdue net-favorability rating tanked over the last month, while Ossoff remains at +5 --Warnock has best favs in the survey, and runoff lead isn't due to favorability. He's up 49/45 if you allocate undecideds by presidential vote — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

What's working for Dems in the poll: --Trump only up 12 among white college grads, 52-40 --Black voters (per file) at 29 percent of likely electorate. What's keeping GOP hopes alive: --Trump up 76-18 among whites without a degree --Biden up just 70-19 among nonwhite voters — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Democrats gain in Georgia Senate races as the presidential contest remains deadlocked, per new NYT/Siena poll: Biden 45, Trump 45 Ossoff 43, Perdue 43, Hazel 4 Warnock 32, Loeffler 23, Collins 17 Warnock+4 v. both Collins and Warnock https://t.co/7atcFrw9tS — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Yup, all polls from here are final polls https://t.co/d9zKM6nscb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It is, but I'm also pretty sure it's the first live phone poll to show Biden leading by less than 10 since the first debate https://t.co/L4LaZI18II — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think it's defensible and we may show you something like that before the election, though we won't add it into the toplines https://t.co/ZBq1F6bSdP — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

UNF has Biden+1 in Florida (this is the live phone version of the poll) Taken together, I would say that NYT/Siena nationally, UNF in FL, and ABC/Post in NC do seem to be a couple points better for Trump than the average of recent phone polls https://t.co/MEXYZ0jWwb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Today at 1PM: NYT/Siena in Georgia, including our first test of Warnock v. Collins/Loeffler in Senate special runoffs — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

ABC/Post has Biden+1 in NC, 47-46 Cunningham+2, 49-47 https://t.co/6qNBJvMG3I — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @PostPolls: NEW Post-ABC poll: Trump and Biden are in a dead heat in North Carolina, via @danbalz @sfcpoll @EmGusk https://t.co/igbGTtwV… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @sfcpoll: @PostPolls @danbalz @EmGusk U.S. Senate race in N.C. is tight, with partisan views and Trump outweighing Cunningham scandal, P… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

You'll have plenty of other national surveys next week, but we'll stay in the battlegrounds from here https://t.co/DV4WfOqMjF — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in the final Times/Siena national survey of the 2020 campaign. Biden 50, Trump 41 https://t.co/T50dHrfUOh — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ewong: NEW: US diplomats & spies say Trump administration has concealed info on mystery attacks abroad in which Russia is a suspect. We… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@gelliottmorris it's not, but it does show something interesting about the fivethirtyeight model that's consistent w the initial bww point — PolitiTweet.org