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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden's going to get like 85% of the remaining absentees. Also, there are going to be *a lot* of *very* Democratic… https://t.co/RbiQa6OmeS — PolitiTweet.org

Whoa Chris @Whoa_Chris

@Nate_Cohn @NYTnickc Conjecture.... There are just over 326,000 mail-in ballots in PA left to count. If they break… https://t.co/l1T0J6BKQb

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @ejreports: My updated story: Chatham County, GA now expects to post its roughly 15K outstanding absentee ballots tonight. Of the alrea… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Garrett_Archer: According to Maricopa county election officials, There will be one tabulation upload tonight at 7pm, there will be anot… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The pattern of Biden over-performance over Clinton in the completed PA counties tells you a lot about what you need… https://t.co/tanavWolEz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump's lead in Pennsylvania down to 80k votes as Cumberland wraps up its count. It's yet another county that fini… https://t.co/j3KjnwyBwQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To be fair, the needle doesn't think NC is over! It closed with Trump at 86% to win. It has no idea, like anyone el… https://t.co/rUIR3hJo8t — PolitiTweet.org

Jeff Mustonen, Biden Harris Stan @UWMoose

@Nate_Cohn NC is not even close to be over.

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Or put differently, if you don't know GA, but you do know FL and GA went Trump, you're probably thinking Trump's go… https://t.co/R3MOos120Y — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well it took a long time get enough out of the Atlanta area, and the results in NC/FL had weight until then. Biden… https://t.co/fbrGBs2Zw3 — PolitiTweet.org

EtotheVtotheAN @EtotheVtotheAN

@Nate_Cohn What happened early in Georgia needle? Do you have a culprit for the data that was wrong?

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Basically the whole time, IMO. Nailed Florida. Nailed NC, even as folks thought Biden was doing great. Initially go… https://t.co/M0lbCbwoDK — PolitiTweet.org

Nick Roosevelt Ⓥ @nroose

@Nate_Cohn At what point was the needle helpful? Perhaps you can plot the helpfulness of the needles over time for the last 48 hours?

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Sadly, we're at the point where the needle is no longer very helpful. In a lot of places, the SOS says there's stil… https://t.co/tWj1NZjB96 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Yeah, then we get to the extraneous stuff. Overseas ballot v. provisionals v. the scattered missing stuff across th… https://t.co/fOwXyfTrn9 — PolitiTweet.org

Grocery @GroceryYT

@Nate_Cohn What about military ballots? Is there enough padding?

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Trump's lead in Georgia now under 10,000 votes, mainly after mail-in ballots from Fulton. Clayton and Chatham abse… https://t.co/8z1ZzeTKY6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @anacaprana: My relatives 6 years ago: “How many branches of Government are there?” My relatives today: “Things are looking good for a… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If so, then my follow up would be: does that include provisionals? https://t.co/QwKzR3gUrZ — PolitiTweet.org

Rickey Bevington @rickeybevington

Surreal status report from Georgia ... "Deputy Secretary of State Jordan Fuchs told the @AP that the final margin m… https://t.co/2AIZPrw9TB

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For Trump to win Pennsylvania, the Secretary of State would have to be very, very wrong about how many mail ballots… https://t.co/swrQzXoYpS — PolitiTweet.org

Abby D. Phillip @abbydphillip

Alright, PA Secretary of State Kathy Boockvar says it's likely we could know by TODAY the winner in the state of PA… https://t.co/BQgBIiw888

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden's 1 point lead in NV looks tenuous... if you *don't* know what's out is Democratic late mail/provisionals. B… https://t.co/P9lcBBi1h7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well we don't independently call races. But we do decline to take AP calls, as we did in AZ. That said: I think th… https://t.co/s4DVrUES8K — PolitiTweet.org

Daniel Green @dgreenmusic

@Nate_Cohn But why haven't you called Nevada?

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Why we haven't called Arizona (even though we usually use AP calls) https://t.co/jxkgpMYVDy — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, I think this is legitimately hard to handle well: that's why there's no national needle this year (tho tbh… https://t.co/ZYjdU27Xr3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Same thing, I fear? In the pre-2020 days, I think an 8% Biden lead with 70% counted in AZ, or whatever it was exact… https://t.co/zDo9kSH2AX — PolitiTweet.org

mangoinsel @Insel_mitMango

@Nate_Cohn How could Fox call Arizona?

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And while I don't know it for a fact, a lot of what's happened that seems wrong so far (like Fox needles showing Bi… https://t.co/Y29GylH5Zf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think a main barrier is that the network projection models may not be built to handle vote by method to this exte… https://t.co/XMJSy5YbJh — PolitiTweet.org

rhys @jisoolegend_

@Nate_Cohn Could this be called for Biden soon then?

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Additionally, Clark County (Las Vegas) appears to hold a disproportionate share of what's left. That would be good… https://t.co/ElUd8gOebD — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden wins the new votes in Nevada by 14 points, and there's still more late mail and provisionals left. I don't kn… https://t.co/OJUaTTlwXk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @JMilesColeman: Robeson County, NC precincts where Native Americans are a majority of voters: 2012 Obama - 59.4% Romney - 39.2% 2020 T… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Redistrict: Increasingly, when Dem donors see a shiny object in a red/purple state, they flood the zone w/ out-of-state $$. And in comb… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One key piece of info in AZ: do we have late ballots that arrived in the mail, those dropped off on Election Day, o… https://t.co/74pgUshYPf — PolitiTweet.org

jamal james @Jamal___James

I have been keep the EV data every day. I split what was the uncounted 420k into two almost equal batches. The spli… https://t.co/pSjJbfP81O

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Arizona: It's still a mess here. Last night's ballots were good for Trump, but there just isn't as much precision i… https://t.co/I7laHBKX2H — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The basic breakdown: Biden's still on track in Pennsylvania. There's enough mail-in vote, there's still in person v… https://t.co/6wiKZFJEab — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Biden appears to hold the edge in votes left to be counted. A look at what's left to count as of this morning. https://t.co/4Zq8aIPm0e — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2020 Hibernated