Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Many of the 'this time will be different' arguments feel more like 'this won't be 2006/2010/2014/2018.' That's possible! But there's a pretty big gap between not losing 30 seats and zero losses or even gains (what Ds may need after redistricting) https://t.co/SPmTyakzqc — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @grace_panetta: New from me: Congress likely won't take action on the growing threats to election integrity, leaving election workers vu… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @smotus: Correlation of Biden vote share and adult Covid vaccination rate is now at .847. (CDC data) https://t.co/J2hQHKYUIH — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jbenton: There are two approved Louisiana history textbooks for the state's 8th graders. This is how one of them introduces the Civil… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @MattGrossmann: Partisans dislike people in the other party because they stereotype them as politically engaged & ideologically extreme;… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@HelenKennedy @mattyglesias would have *necessarily* done — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@HelenKennedy @mattyglesias the wall, to me, is clearly a policy. it's a prescription about what the government should do. leading 'build that wall chants' and saying 'they're rapists' is personality; they're not things that someone who supports a border wall would have done or been able to do — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nkatsinas1 @the1uckdragon it sounds to me like you have a clear answer here — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm not hugely surprised by these answers, but I am maybe somewhat surprised that are more people who think ‘issues’ were the factor for college educated than non-college voters — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@the1uckdragon i think 'immigration reform is bad; schools shouldn't teach CRT' is policy i think 'there are very nice people on both sides; they're rapists' is personality — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Was Trump's relative weakness among college graduates, compared to other Republicans, mainly because of his stance on the issues, mainly because of his personality, about equal parts of both, or neither — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Was Trump's relatively strength among voters without a college degree, compared to other Republicans, mainly because of his stance on the issues, mainly because of his personality, about equal parts of both, or neither — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ValisJason @DKarol @benbishin i'm not sure what we mean by 'the gop' anymore in sentences like this — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos @jamesfeigenbaum @shom_mazumder maybe it's just me, but with our knowledge of white flight and articles like this from 1964--see the section on what whites said about blacks moving into their neighborhood--it's really hard for me to get comfortable that it's not that https://t.co/Fg1xDiM2lP — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@SeanTrende it seems to me that the reason we keep having versions of this argument is that there isn't a word, afaik, to describe the constellation of ideologically coherent new-new-left ideas about race, lower-case 'l' liberalism, and American history that conservatives want to oppose — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@EthanBWinter @jon_m_rob I don’t think that’s their argument, given that it’s about certain states — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos @jamesfeigenbaum @shom_mazumder that said, i'd still wonder about it. there's also another level of selection bias there: which white families don't move away when a black person moves next door. relatively liberal, less assimilated, or less affluent ones seem likeliest to me — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos @jamesfeigenbaum @shom_mazumder my first reaction was that blacks tended to move into relatively poor, white immigrant neighborhoods, leading to disproportionate contact with groups that lean dem, then and now, most obviously jews. reading the paper, the granularity of the geography should really help a lot — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos @jamesfeigenbaum @shom_mazumder did you consider any ethnic controls based on surname or the composition of the neighborhood in 1940 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One of the most provocative lines of the political scientist letters last week read that several states "no longer meet the minimum conditions for free and fair elections." I thought it was too bad that they didn't specify those conditions, which states violated it, and why — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And yet in perhaps the most important sense, I *think* there's a consensus that every state held a free and fair election in 2020--big lie concerns not withstanding--regardless of whether they had a lot of mail or early voting options, regardless of whether they had SDR, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That line is surprisingly hard to draw; felon disenfranchisement is a nice example. Convenience voting is a good ex too AFAIK, there are only two states where every adult citizen is still presumptively eligible to vote when they wake up on Election Day https://t.co/snliGaPtrb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Democracy is a weird thing. It can at once be measured on a continuous spectrum (more voting options, easier registration, more enfranchised people) but ultimately there's a simple binary: a party/country/election either is or isn't democratic https://t.co/4rqUpF8UVc — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@JustTheFacts37 @smotus @richardmskinner to me, West Virginia is industrial more than Midwestern but yeah, if you ask me "is WV part of the industrial north" then my answer would be yes — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @smotus @richardmskinner i wouldn't say so, but because of post-1860 migration and urbanization. i think it counts as the south in 1860 in 1856, for ex — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@smotus @richardmskinner i think this is one of the clearer ways to mark that shift https://t.co/lN0F6LqkJb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@smotus @richardmskinner Now if you want to argue that by 1930 its role in the steel-coal industrial zone means we should reimagine it as part of the north, yielding all these ties with pittsburgh etc, then I think I see the case — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@smotus @richardmskinner To me, it's most clearly similar to Kentucky. And does anyone think Kentucky isn't part of the South? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@smotus @richardmskinner Ultimately, i just don't buy that Unionist sentiment means something isn't Southern. After all, the idea of the South clearly precedes the Civil War and WV was undoubtedly part of that conception of the South — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@smotus @richardmskinner to me, it's more of the post civil war history--coal, industrialization, unionization, immigration--that makes it clearly stand out of the south. the pre-industrial history, including the civil war, feels very Southern to me, even if it's unionist — PolitiTweet.org