Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Back in February I drew this map just to get a sense of what might happen, and it scores quite similarly despite some relevant differences (they care less about county lines than this supposes, for one thing) https://t.co/3oz2NOGvu2 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm a bit late to this (moved yesterday), but I am surprised that there's outrage about this map. This Colorado proposal more-or-less comports with all of the various standards for partisan fairness. A mean-median gap of ~1 pt is pretty fair? https://t.co/J1rHN0Onls — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The demise of HR1 may wind up opening the door to more plausible, if still quite unlikely, paths to reform https://t.co/NeefmyawYF — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @rickhasen: #ELB: “A Bill Destined to Fail May Now Spawn More Plausible Options” https://t.co/K44CR0kad3 smart @Nate_Cohn — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Democratic Electorate on Twitter Is Not the Actual Democratic Electorate https://t.co/kBGZMYSwyW — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @jmartNYT: As @ericadamsfornyc builds a lead in NYC - the day before Biden delivers his first speech on rising crime - a number of Dems… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Based on the pre-election polls (which seem to doing well in the first round of balloting), it is hard to see Garcia/Wiley pulling this off, even after several weeks of not-so-instant runoff voting. But at this point, the first step is a big, surprise showing in the absentee vt — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Adams now leads by more than 9 points and that will probably keep growing as long as Election Day votes are being counted (he's probably leading the eday vote by 15 so far). Once that's done, Garcia/Wiley can at least hope to pull Adams back a bit in the late absentee count — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

certainly the threat of ending McCarthy's district would be more leverage than anything the Dems have today — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's interesting to imagine what this redistricting cycle--and the prospects for redistricting reform--would look like if Democrats had full control over redistricting in the states where they've handed over power to nonpartisan commissions, like CA https://t.co/oAt6DzPALd — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The NYC mayoral primary results page is live. Be sure to check back in a few weeks for the final result https://t.co/6rkkWSJUIz — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @AlexThomp: Tough DMR/Selzer poll in Iowa for Biden. In March: more Iowans approved of the job was doing as president (47%) than disapp… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@bengrossbg @elkmovie it'll count. but you would just risk elevating a candidate who would lose to adams. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@elkmovie with the risk being that voting for your preferred but unelectable candidate, you wind up with adams — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@elkmovie it'll count either way. but if you're an anyone-but-adams voter, then it might make sense to rank the candidate who is likeliest to beat adams (whoever that might be), even if that candidate is not your preferred choice — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@elkmovie it'll count either way. but if you're an anyone-but-adams voter, then it might not make sense to vote for a candidate who would be likeliest to lose to adams (whoever that might be), even if that candidate's your preferred choice — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A lot of people don't think there's any strategic voting in ranked choice, but if either Wiley or Garcia seemed positioned to beat Adams one-on-one, but not the other, there would be a strategic case for progressives to rank that candidate first even if they preferred the other — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Garcia doing only slightly better than Wiley in the one-on-one matchup with Adams. Doubt that's anywhere near a clear enough result to prompt any kind of late strategic voting https://t.co/ym2Odumam9 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @FairVoteAction: In addition to leading in the initial RCV tally, Eric Adams is a strong favorite against every other candidate head-to-… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @sahilkapur: New @MonmouthPoll on VOTING -71% say make early voting easier (16% say make it harder) -50% say make mail voting easier (… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @awprokop: As @SeanTrende points out a lot of people argue both that the GOP is a terrifying extremist party, and that Dems have little… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jon_m_rob @ProfNickStephan yeah, this is the sort of conversation that needed to happen in january and at this point it would be extremely tough to decouple it from the charged fight over voter suppression v voting rights. but i'm not 100% sure it's too late on some of the easiest stuff — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @axios: .@jonathanvswan presses Pakistan Prime Minister Imran Khan on why he’s outspoken against Islamophobia in the West but silent abo… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @Redistrict: Once again, a major news outlet's headline omits the rather important detail that *every* state routinely removes moved/ina… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

RT @perrybaconjr: Remember that The Intercept YESTERDAY published the details of a closed-door meeting in which Manchin cast Blunt as a nic… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ParkerMolloy @HeerJeet and that's been my only, narrow point from the very start: the unusual thing about this debate is that there was never a term to describe an incredibly important web of ideas. and without a term, the right gave it one — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ParkerMolloy @HeerJeet i never said it made their points valid or making things illegal better. never said anything like it. all i've said is that the reason we're having this semantic labeling debate is because there was no term previously, and i think that's an unusual feature of this debate — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ParkerMolloy @HeerJeet now you might not consider that very interesting or important! which it's not. but my tweet was, again, weighing in only on this narrow change — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ParkerMolloy @HeerJeet no, there is something new: the characterization of this as CRT, and the subsequent muddling of what's actually being debated and contested — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ParkerMolloy @HeerJeet i honestly haven't really considered this question before this, but without having thought about it i can imagine a real case to ban all sorts of ideas from being taught in public school--biological white supremacy, young earth, flat earth, whatever https://t.co/SXRBsjL3aI — PolitiTweet.org