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Rob Lee @RALee85
Video from Prigozhin's RIA Fan. The Wagner tanker says they only have three T-90 tanks (T-90M), and that the T-72B3M is their "work horse." He says they use the T-72B3M at ranges up to 10km. https://t.co/VWRoeyXAYb https://t.co/JsBWfvZi1h https://t.co/a3u7CFe1SY — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Russian Mi-28NM attack helicopters with LMUR Izdelie 305 missiles. https://t.co/dc7VZK5HdE https://t.co/HRkloM8vw8 https://t.co/7mTWUTlCI4 — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Video of a 3rd Motorized Rifle Division T-90M tank in combat on the Svatove-Kreminna front. The tank’s soft kill countermeasures, which included dispensing smoke, activated when an ATGM was aimed at it. https://t.co/f5xzBQBa7M https://t.co/4jzDWCCMXE — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@MassDara I think he arrived in mid summer, so it fits with a ~6 month rotation. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Former Central Military District commander Colonel General Alexander Lapin has been appointed the Chief of Staff of the Russian Ground Forces. Not clear where Colonel General Vasily Tonkoshkurov will go. https://t.co/NZxxwD7GT5 https://t.co/UVEkGtwVQx — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
RT @wartranslated: Ukrainian mil. journalist Yuriy Butusov - update from Soledar. The situation is difficult, Russians are throwing all the… — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Another video from March of an Iskander strike targeting 2S7 Pion artillery. 2/ https://t.co/O1eInUHCqR https://t.co/GbJ9mnesy4 — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Footage from Orlan-30 UAVs of two Iskander strikes from from Feb 25 in Termakhivka, Kyiv Oblast on Ukrainian armor. https://t.co/O1eInUHCqR https://t.co/4Fae60II5g https://t.co/V5HHvGusX6 — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
A Russian BMP-2 with a 675-sb3KDZ armor kit. https://t.co/YzVHNMqc4I https://t.co/lo7UmLj7FF — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Russian Ka-52 and Mi-28N helicopters over Makiivka. https://t.co/ECCosiNm8w https://t.co/EcBStdWpMG — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Russian VDV machine gunner with a PKM, suppressor, and what looks like a Scorpion ammunition backpack/MG feed in Zaporizhzhia Oblast. https://t.co/LjsrmtaQvk https://t.co/O66LZiXSjT — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Video of a Ukrainian tank firing at a Russian position at close range. https://t.co/Y7e109GYWW https://t.co/ztss7IEC6Q — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@David_Hambling True, but R-18 are still affected by EW and they've been killing tanks like they did in the first month. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Syria seems to be the new rotation for senior Russian commanders who were relieved in Ukraine. — PolitiTweet.org
Stéphane Kenech @stephanekenech
Andrei Serdyukov seems to be back in Syria as commander of Russian forces operating in the Syrian Arab Republic.… https://t.co/2rU6x0BlAR
Rob Lee @RALee85
@stephanekenech Interesting. What is the source for the photos? — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@chrisvnicholson Costs absolutely matter, and there are important low-cost lessons from this war. My point is that people keep underestimating how important heavy and expensive systems still are. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
To be clear, this wasn't criticism of Evan's tweet, and he wasn't exaggerating their role. But I've seen this quote being used by other people as evidence that tanks are obsolete, and it is another data interpretation mistake. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
This is similar to looking at the # of aviation kills from MANPADS. There have been a lot, which has led some to exaggerate the effectiveness of MANPADS. But Russian aircraft are flying at low altitudes (in MANPADS range) in large part because they're more afraid of Buk-M1/S-300. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@einsteinradler UAVs are playing an important role, but people are missing many of their limitations. The cheap COTS UAVs are useful for tactical ISR, but EW/range limits them from pushing past the FLOT. If you want to use a UAV for counter-battery fire, you need something more expensive. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
In the majority of videos in which a UAV destroys a tank by dropping a munition on it (especially after the 1st month), the tank was already abandoned or immobilized. The weapons that immobilized them are more expensive. COTS UAVs dropping grenades are not replacing AT systems. — PolitiTweet.org
Evan Montgomery @evanbmontgomery
“War is an economy. It’s money. And if you have a drone for $3,000 and a grenade for $200, and you destroy a tank t… https://t.co/eTfBERKQXt
Rob Lee @RALee85
@SimonJohnBowden Russia was launching far more missiles per day in the opening months of the war. They will never fully run out of missiles but the expenditure rate has decreased and that is militarily significant. We are seeing ~3 mass missile attacks per month right now. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
3/ — PolitiTweet.org
GeoConfirmed @GeoConfirmed
GeoConfirmed UKR. "Tank battle between two Ukrainian and three Russian tanks at a distance of 500 meters. " Russi… https://t.co/4z9UENIWfl
Rob Lee @RALee85
@Elizrael I don't know. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
The Central Military District said the 55th Mountain Motorized Rifle Brigade received more than 20 AMN-590951 VPK-Ural MRAPs last year. https://t.co/1IPuYQI2DB — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
2/ https://t.co/umMXZYg6zW https://t.co/9WbWuBo4wG — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
Ukraine’s deputy intelligence chief Vadym Skibitsky said last week that Russia can produce ~30 Kh-101 and 15-20 Kalibr cruise missiles per month, had ~160 Kh-22 missiles in stock, and had used ~660 Shahed UAVs (and had a contract for 1,750 of them) https://t.co/44RwpKncv4 https://t.co/wmVNcRBjkE — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@The_Lookout_N One important take away, imo, is how you can develop/structure/train a military so it can still conduct complex offensive operations after substantial attrition. It is much more difficult to execute multi-brigade offensive operations with mobilized soldiers and officers. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@KampfmitKette @einsteinradler I think there will likely be political capital for serious reforms in Russia once the war is done, which will be easier given the high turnover of senior officers, but much of the failures stem from the senior political level. Unclear how much rotation there will be with them. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@einsteinradler I'm just concerned that people are doing the opposite and drawing the wrong conclusions about which weapons have been useful in Ukraine before even trying to apply them to different contexts. — PolitiTweet.org
Rob Lee @RALee85
@The_Lookout_N I wasn't disagreeing with you. I think the 1st step is to learn what actually happened, and the lessons Ukrainians have drawn. Then apply it to other militaries/scenarios. Tanks may be less relevant in other contexts, but saying they haven't been important in this war is wrong. — PolitiTweet.org
