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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SaadMaan15 @Decafquest Ignore him, Saad: it is not about him (too... you know) but about the depressed Lebanese of his generation getting distorted messages from idiots. The Lebanese have enough trouble and don't need more crap like this. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
It is a virtue for people to change their mind, provided they knows that they may change they mind on that point when making an idea public. It is dangerous, on the other hand, to change your mind after stating you would never change opinion. Very similar to Bayesian updating. — PolitiTweet.org
Ray Dalio @RayDalio
As John Maynard Keynes is credited with saying: “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?” Alo… https://t.co/RPAiVT1yNL
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Mr Rasmi @Decafquest, a "philosopher" has decided to run a Q&A below explaining how one shd look at economic conditions WITHOUT data. * By "model" he means accounting data ** By "his parent's mansion" he means "the mansion he BUILT for his parents". https://t.co/xIifNZKMJn — PolitiTweet.org
Mahmoud Rasmi @Decafquest
I once looked at an excel sheet from the comfort of my parent's mansion and decided that a country in ruins is doin… https://t.co/Wyb1QWtGmA
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
5) Bingo! Here is the solution, via the residue theorem. https://t.co/tMo0irfeCs — PolitiTweet.org
Dmitry Pesin @DmitryPesin
@nntaleb I think your first step is good, the one where sin(...) appears. Then one can notice that the function is… https://t.co/c5qOId1dVK
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
A tiny drop in demand, abt 1-3% can cause large drops in prices. — PolitiTweet.org
Ritesh Gulrajani @riteshgulrajani
As @nntaleb has mentioned time and again https://t.co/yDmW55EHeN https://t.co/pJblykmjgh
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
4) Technical Note: in fields with fat tails, a single observation can be sufficient if it is an extremely large deviation. But medicine is locally sub-gaussian since we add up 0,1 and no single observation can impact the aggregate. So the below holds. https://t.co/y6PVQuKGDE — PolitiTweet.org
Bijun Sai Kannadath @Bijun_med
@nntaleb Technically, his father's example wouldn't even qualify as a case report since that would require document… https://t.co/GELvIyxr57
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3)I finally figured out what is annoying about that Malhotra et al. charlatans. Clinical case studies & animal experiments direct FUTURE real empirical research; never, never to be used for policy. Meanwhile Malhotra is broadcasting his father case study to >1M viewers. Shoddy. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
I finally figured out what is annoying about that Malhotra et al. medificators. Clinical case studies & animal experiments direct FUTURE real empirical research; never, never to be used for policy. Meanwhile Malhotra is broadcasting his father case study to >1M viewers. Shoddy. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
BS ALERT Malhotra's "peer reviewed" pseudoarticle is published in "Journal of Insulin Resistance", which appears to… https://t.co/KubUr0sC2b
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@digvijoy_c @trishankkarthik @EmanuelDerman @birdxi1988 Was about to invite you — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GraecoSyrian @jstarklefkowitz @drjamesdinic @SBakerMD Which diet lowered your BP and cholesterol? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
I am not crazy about prizes, but this Nobel validates the work on Ancient DNA: many of Pääbo's coauthors s.a. @PZalloua feel vindicated that theirs is a science. We are witnessing the rewriting of ancient history on more scientifically rigorous grounds. — PolitiTweet.org
nature @Nature
This morning, Svante Pääbo was awarded the #NobelPrize in medicine. The Swedish geneticist has made stunning discov… https://t.co/EXIHTrEVzc
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@APOideas Imbecile, trolling is NOT "disagreeing". — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GraecoSyrian @drjamesdinic It's complicated. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@LastMandalorian @testaffinity1 Can't you fucking understand that they don't have the INFORMATION? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@testaffinity1 @LastMandalorian I thought you knew I block people for sophistry. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mjd1735 DYNAMIC: If someone wins using a threat, they will use if again. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GraecoSyrian But note that metabolic stuff is mainstream medicine. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@LastMandalorian @testaffinity1 You both seem to have trouble with reading comprehension . They have different interests and INFORMATION. Read before posting. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mjd1735 Letting someone threaten you is NOT precautionary. Please do not use PP outside of its narrowly defined application. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JackBlasker Not a line of research in it. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SaadMaan15 What happened to your picture? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Ho molti amici a Mosca e non li condanno per essersi schierati in quella guerra. Hanno informazioni e interessi diversi e vivono in un ambiente diverso. Ma ho solo un estremo disprezzo per gli occidentali che eseguono gli ordini di Putin mentre affermano di promuovere "libertà". — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
I have friends in Moscow & do not condemn them for taking sides in that war. They have different interests & information. But I just have some extreme scorn for Westerners who do Putin's bidding while claiming to promote "liberty", "democracy", "noninterventionism, etc. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GraecoSyrian Part 1, ~page 2 on PDF. It is the central argument, how a personal event changed his mind. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SimonZook Fucking idiot, I am not attacking the man but the use of the fake "peer review" for validation. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Sample from the pseudoarticle: this is the reverse of "evidence based medicine" which he claims to represent. https://t.co/JyAUOkFrHR — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
BS ALERT Malhotra's "peer reviewed" pseudoarticle is published in "Journal of Insulin Resistance", which appears to be a South African vanity outlet for junk scientists to show a formatted publication to their social media followers. Plus he is on the pseudojournal's board. — PolitiTweet.org
Dr Aseem Malhotra @DrAseemMalhotra
The most important announcement of my life and career so far. Please watch, listen and share with family and friend… https://t.co/tQwtJEpX5O
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@empeirikos2718 You can repost all pages in the tweet. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@gnuseibeh @HeathrowAirport Never Heathrow on Sundays! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
4) I have been stuck! The integral seems correct (numerically) but I can't think of any way to solve it. https://t.co/8sImIM3aaA — PolitiTweet.org
