Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 21, 2022

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Tue Oct 04 11:38:36 +0000 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) Mr Rasmi @Decafquest, a "philosopher" has decided to run a Q&A below explaining how one shd look at economic conditions WITHOUT data. * By "model" he means accounting data ** By "his parent's mansion" he means "the mansion he BUILT for his parents". https://t.co/xIifNZKMJn — PolitiTweet.org

I once looked at an excel sheet from the comfort of my parent's mansion and decided that a country in ruins is doin… https://t.co/Wyb1QWtGmA

Posted Oct. 4, 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

5) Bingo! Here is the solution, via the residue theorem. https://t.co/tMo0irfeCs — PolitiTweet.org

@nntaleb I think your first step is good, the one where sin(...) appears. Then one can notice that the function is… https://t.co/c5qOId1dVK

Posted Oct. 4, 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

It is a virtue for people to change their mind, provided they knows that they may change they mind on that point when making an idea public. It is dangerous, on the other hand, to change your mind after stating you would never change opinion. Very similar to Bayesian updating. — PolitiTweet.org

As John Maynard Keynes is credited with saying: “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?” Alo… https://t.co/RPAiVT1yNL

Posted Oct. 4, 2022