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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Harry is a card carrying member of our Mask Wearing- BS Buster Probability Brigade. MW-BSBPB, formerly BSBPB — PolitiTweet.org
Harry Crane @HarryDCrane
Come on. https://t.co/72ikrKSSno
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@rafcann @MDiPaolaMD @hugowiz @Spfannenschmidt @IAmMicMars @Extrachelle @LouisPaulThe2nd @tabacco_y_rhum @_jonyoung_ @ishirubi @NachoOliveras @otrasenda_AC @exergiovanni @david_avien @enzolamberti @jbarrpartarr @gaffneycathal @lucklepper 1 min — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GadSaad Nice travel suitcase. Very nice. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GadSaad Nice license plate. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@QifaNabki @wwnorton I have an extra copy of the real thing somewhere. You must return to Amazon. Was printed by a robot. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ggalexsava Not a subset. Conditional probability. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@MDiPaolaMD @hugowiz @Spfannenschmidt @IAmMicMars @Extrachelle @LouisPaulThe2nd @tabacco_y_rhum @_jonyoung_ @ishirubi @NachoOliveras @otrasenda_AC @exergiovanni @david_avien @enzolamberti @jbarrpartarr @gaffneycathal @lucklepper Then tried dried pasta. Worked beautifully. https://t.co/uagXstKE11 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@MDiPaolaMD @hugowiz @Spfannenschmidt @IAmMicMars @Extrachelle @LouisPaulThe2nd @tabacco_y_rhum @_jonyoung_… https://t.co/SEYnDNqoOu — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
THIS IS A SCAM. Do not send $$ Dear @YouTube This is a SCAM. I have been reporting for 24 hours. They are impersonating me. Even sent my passport screenshot to show it was not my channel. I know of 20 people who reported. Why is @Youtube so slow in reacting? — PolitiTweet.org
Anubhav Kapoor @anubhav_kapoor
@nntaleb This is paying LIVE on YT right now! Obviously not a legit way of doubling BTC https://t.co/txuHUgVUoX
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
SCAM ALERT Someone is impersonating me — PolitiTweet.org
Anubhav Kapoor @anubhav_kapoor
@nntaleb This is paying LIVE on YT right now! Obviously not a legit way of doubling BTC https://t.co/txuHUgVUoX
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@anubhav_kapoor Scam alert! Not me — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AchrafKhallouli @KourdaN @Safaitic @PhDniX If you like my oeuvre you should hate nitpicking. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @spyrosmakrid: The M5 Competition has ended. The big winner of the Accuracy track with 5,558 participating teams is YeonJun, a senior un… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @spyrosmakrid: The M5 Competition ended. The big winner of the Accuracy track with 5,558 participating teams was YeonJun IN, an undergra… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ole_b_peters @DrCirillo @ChrisAlanPerry https://t.co/bhICzIaurz — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Friends of Maestro @CutTheKnotMath, RIP I am writing an intro to the book on Probability riddles, please share anecdotes if you have one. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AchrafKhallouli @KourdaN @Safaitic @PhDniX Speaking a language is NOT speeches & declamations but conversation. For 500 years Europe used Latin without speaking it. Mafhum? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
(Ignoring the false positives/false negatives as too small an effect here) — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
ANSWER (FRAMEWORK): We can use this very simple approach for conditional probability: if those who tested have more positives in them. So much less than 1%, with some information we can get closer. https://t.co/RpeV3a7LYc — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
QUESTION If ~1% of people tested in NY test positive, assuming nonrandom testing, what is the proportion of people infected? — PolitiTweet.org
Andrew Cuomo @NYGovCuomo
Today's update on the numbers: 56,710 tests were performed yesterday. 625 tests came back positive (1.1% of total)… https://t.co/ev1OeyLkxI
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ndehouche @fruedjz @Safaitic @PhDniX In Lebanon it used to be Christians who loved Classical Arabic. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Dannythefink @QuantumTaranti2 @HalfacreeDavid @PTetlock It is actually (partly) here in our debate with Ioannidis. I would not debate @Ptetlock https://t.co/Og7ywr0wSU — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AllMeatDiet @Safaitic @PhDniX Yes — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@QuantumTaranti2 @Dannythefink @HalfacreeDavid @PTetlock What kind of nonsense is this? Because I debunk bullshitters everyone is not a bullshitter. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Dannythefink @HalfacreeDavid @PTetlock Tetlock is an academic fraud. A total academic fraud. More, later. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Why is Arabic the world's most difficult language to learn?("fus7a" & "modern literary arabic") Simply because it is NOT spoken. And @Safaitic & @PhDniX showed was NEVER spoken as such. It's a COMPLICATED literary construction by poets/scholars. Local languages are EASY. https://t.co/YZX5kKAloX — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @nntaleb: FRAUD ALERT https://t.co/c5DnKxQ34V — PolitiTweet.org
Lord @Lord29506973
@nntaleb There's an impersonator of you claiming to giveaway 2500 Bitcoins, the equivalent of roughly 23,000,000$.… https://t.co/58qYNA6Y1w
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @MasaSkiba: "I've never met a rich nitpicker." NNT FB https://t.co/dW42jveNG8 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GrantSSC @PaulSkallas Yes but my objective is to be a human, which includes some strength, not to become strong. Molto differente — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@SimonDeDeo One week... We sold out the first printing! — PolitiTweet.org
