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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AlexZive @yammyth You're an idiot. The point is that nuclear can be and has been made local since. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@digvijoy_c @joe_shipman @octonion The formula would be to integrate ^250/mean assuming the distribution of the mean. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@digvijoy_c @joe_shipman @octonion No, a fudge. The 125 is a fudge. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Waiting for more such studies. Morbidity seems to affect mild cases, as presumed in our debate with Ioannidis (Taleb Bar Yam, Cirillo, 2020, IJF). You need to account for morbidity, not just fatality, rates. — PolitiTweet.org
Yaneer Bar-Yam @yaneerbaryam
The extent and severity of the long term respiratory complications of covid-19 infection remain to be seen, but eme… https://t.co/xST9VeCJJ7
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Waiting for more such studies. Morbidity seems to affect mild cases, as presumed in our debate with Ioannidis (Taleb Bar Yam, Cirillo, 2020, IJF). You need to account morbidity, not just fatality. — PolitiTweet.org
Yaneer Bar-Yam @yaneerbaryam
Manifest brain damage in 55% COVID-19 patients ..higher bilateral gray matter volumes (GMV) in olfactory cortices,… https://t.co/3vRwB0MgFA
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @octonion: Hi Nassim, I've cobbled together a few results to duplicate your answer using a very different approach. Computationally, th… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @Tareq_Knocker: #Beirut The Phoenix will rise again as always did 🙏 from @nntaleb book.. https://t.co/o36HDE8E6Z — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Thomssmn @romyjournalist @GregorySMcMuray @coydali I have BTC to go — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Thomssmn @romyjournalist @GregorySMcMuray @coydali Is there a BTC => Fresh dollars market? Thanks — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@romyjournalist @coydali Fresh $$ account — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2/Some people on the thread are recommending NGOs. I tend to go direct, avoid professionals. Someone I know. And if you pick an organization, take one with volunteers, no professional staff. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@FourFourths Nobody needs your prayers. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
LEBANESE DIASPORA Stop the BS & the statements. Find pple in your circle who lost their home & offer $$ to rebuild. Talk is cheap. Don't call with words, call with $$. Now. PS- I block everyone engaging in conspiracy theories under such a tragedy. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Fireworks or ammunitions from the initial sparks. Stop the conspiracy theories, for Baal's sake. No plane. — PolitiTweet.org
Joe Truzman @Jtruzmah
What looks like fireworks going off before the large explosion at the #Beirut port. #Lebanon https://t.co/D3PlidjjNA
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Definetely fireworks or amunitions from the initial sparks. Stop the conspiracy theories, for Baal's sake. — PolitiTweet.org
Joe Truzman @Jtruzmah
What looks like fireworks going off before the large explosion at the #Beirut port. #Lebanon https://t.co/D3PlidjjNA
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Manhattan is dead & unflaneurable. Astoria Queens is more flaneurable: less pretentious & has much better Greek food, 30% blue collar customers instead of constipated book executives & philistines who read Harari. Even flaneuring can adapt well. https://t.co/WjhrkAR7Lw — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Jonassibony Nikos Phililogos — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@gersh_g10580652 Scribe — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@sohrab21 "Arabic"? WTF? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @nntaleb: Corrected https://t.co/Izu3T1WyGe — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Nobody noticed it is the Saint Petersburgh problem? Power law, if uncapped, with infinite mean. There is a Feller theorem about time to cross the origin following a Cauchy — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Corrected https://t.co/Izu3T1WyGe — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@flipphillips You can easily copy one line, no? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Typo: m=250/2 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
And if you cheat ("verify") by using Monte Carlo you get the same. https://t.co/3WY3hYAufv — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
My solution: 8.3 https://t.co/Um6HAGOLMd — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Not "Greek" olive oil. Lebanese olive oil from the Koura valley, so only ½ Greek. — PolitiTweet.org
Ladybird_thx1138 @scmarco69
@nntaleb It arrived today ! I thought it was a joke but it indeed smells of Greek olive oil ! When you open it, you… https://t.co/QXESK78cia
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@digvijoy_c Not quite, my friend. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Ok, Ok, Quiz What is the expected longest run generated by a random 250 coin tosses. A run is defined as n heads or n tails. — PolitiTweet.org
Zhuo Xi @birdxi1988
PROBABILITY PUZZLE In memory of @CutTheKnotMath Which sequence below is more likely to be generated by the “real” 2… https://t.co/INky7SKrOo
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@sothisispietro @normonics Actually, no. People mistake length of runs for average of runs. — PolitiTweet.org
