Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Last Checked April 3, 2021

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Mon Aug 03 19:25:44 +0000 2020

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@sothisispietro @normonics Actually, no. People mistake length of runs for average of runs. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@birdxi1988 @CutTheKnotMath @joe_shipman Thanks Zhuo. Visibly your hand one does not have long runs. https://t.co/dXu4infuYn — PolitiTweet.org

Using a Markov chain to estimate the expected number of runs. The number of runs of 7 must bet ~2 https://t.co/61uIhNIUHZ

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Ok, Ok, Quiz What is the expected longest run generated by a random 250 coin tosses. A run is defined as n heads or n tails. — PolitiTweet.org

PROBABILITY PUZZLE In memory of @CutTheKnotMath Which sequence below is more likely to be generated by the “real” 2… https://t.co/INky7SKrOo