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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The main problem with statistics is statisticians. — PolitiTweet.org
Yaneer Bar-Yam @yaneerbaryam
The main problem with statistics is the concept of the null hypothesis. @nntaleb
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mathematicsprof The ArcSin law (Feller) — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Morning therapy [ROMANIAN MATHEMATICAL MAGAZINE] https://t.co/298RJEW88x — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@LubnanAl @HorLevnon @PZalloua BS. Less than 3% but the reverse is true: Arabians with a Levantine origin. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
American Universities are going to be totally controlled by Robestpierristas (by the minority rule). I mean, totally, as there is no visible countermechanism. Sorry for the innocent funders of their endowments. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @LeVraiMoe: @nntaleb If you’re new to Nassim’s twitter, know that Nassim doesn’t care about your politics, identity, nor your feelings.… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@tfarhat Wait a week or so. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) Kamal Salibi was literally a fiction writer (as patently shown in his theory of the origin of Moses). THe Marib dam population is another fiction. Any scholar citing him for anything historical is effectively a fraud. cc:@PZalloua We are debunking that crap with min effort — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This is TOTAL BS 95% population is local. The Maronites RELIGION came from near Apamea, the POPULATION is local. Sunnis is Lebanon have ~NO Peninsular origin. And the Druze are loca, and, if anything Anatolians. If there is a "foreign origin", it is Anatolian for ALL >3000 y ago. — PolitiTweet.org
Mohammad Nazzal - محمّد نزّال @m_k_nazzal
من هلق لأسبوع رح كون شيعي صلد. وهلق حصة تاريخ: الموارنة إجو علبنان من سوريا الحالية. من حلب وحمص ونواحي شيزر وأفامي… https://t.co/d0xu3P7lGD
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This is TOTAL BS The Maronites' religion came from the North East. The population is local, more ancient than that of city dwellers. cc:@PZalloua — PolitiTweet.org
Mohammad Nazzal - محمّد نزّال @m_k_nazzal
من هلق لأسبوع رح كون شيعي صلد. وهلق حصة تاريخ: الموارنة إجو علبنان من سوريا الحالية. من حلب وحمص ونواحي شيزر وأفامي… https://t.co/d0xu3P7lGD
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@erythrea2013 @Men_Eyu_Nsu Are you Erythrean? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Twitter conversations can help develop an idea. — PolitiTweet.org
Cesáreo González 🦁🇪🇸🇪🇺🌍 @CaesarIpse
Wow, I just realized that my name is on the acknowledgments in “Skin in the game” while rereading it for the 3rd ti… https://t.co/axB97KAPcG
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @paulportesi: It's not what you argue. It's with whom you argue. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
You forget @normonics and an unnamed person (as yet) in government. — PolitiTweet.org
David Zs @DavidZs1work
@davidboxenhorn @nntaleb @normonics @yaneerbaryam Indeed unfortunately only Nassim Taleb & Yaneer Bar-Yam took it s… https://t.co/Dz1nK…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@GJarrosson @MichelNizon @LePoint Je vais m'y mettre alors. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ycmizrahi I know Hebrew — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@shoughtonjr Please explain. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ycmizrahi The Gulf despises "Shamis" (Levantines) and they consider us pretenders & a highly impure race, so their form of antisemitism is directed towards Levantines. Jews don't bother them as much. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ycmizrahi Yes the thing is about lithurgy, not culture. Ezra told me how he wrote in Judeo-Arabic, his father's script. I could speak to him for 24 hours without noticing. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ycmizrahi Zilkha. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ycmizrahi Sephardic is not Mizrahi, as you well know! I remember Ezra Zilha insisting obsessively that he was not Separdic. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@erythrea2013 @Men_Eyu_Nsu Yes here it is. https://t.co/sR5GJEHz60 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Men_Eyu_Nsu @erythrea2013 That's not at all what he is saying. To the contrary. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@LeVraiMoe @ycmizrahi Meds not just Mizrahis. Also Alexandrians. They had duty free shops in NY and Paris, no? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ycmizrahi Almost right. The Farhis were political advisors... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@vivigive @wjesse777 Not reliable in a train station with transit — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3) The idea of the Brier Score is that you need to be *precise* hence minimize the error rate. Under maximal uncertaity it becomes betting at ½. Same with entropy. This is our response to Silver's agent: https://t.co/EVBjFUAbuf — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @MrAnishRS: @nntaleb RE: Antifragile Appendix II Table 12 - portfolio theory "not integrating across parameters" I do it: https://t.co/S… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JudieVerc @PTetlock @DhruvMadeka https://t.co/pj0gY5ufjN — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
In other words your forecast reflects the uncertainty built in because it raises low probabilities (below ½) and lower high prob so you converge to ½ under maximal uncertainty. — PolitiTweet.org
