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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidpapineau Although Neyman-Pearson can lead some to a confusion of terms, mathematical statistics is largely (almost entirely) based on similar asymmetries, namely inequalities, not equalities. https://t.co/Kzgi4BaUeP — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidpapineau Sorry, but that's not how it works. Elementary statistics does not "accept" nor confirm. 1) You reject the null hypothesis. 2) You fail to reject the null hypothesis. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Jaffer22915438 @yaneerbaryam @fabiotavora You can produce them yourself, no? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
I disagree with @davidpapineau. Science uses statistics &, as per Popper, doesn't really "accept", just fails to reject at some significance. It's fundamentally disconfirmatory. Stat. "evidence" is inherently probabilistic and cannot be "degenerate" (i.e. provide certainties). — PolitiTweet.org
David Papineau @davidpapineau
The problem of demarcation is entirely of Popper's own making. In truth, the distinguishing feature of science is t… https://t.co/0gPBZBcMcS
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@nicolehamouche @DurrellSociety DM please. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ATomasi__ Similar https://t.co/0KWVfxs4dn — PolitiTweet.org
Trimontium Trust @TrimontiumTrust
A breathtaking reconstruction of Julius Caesar taken from his bust in the Vatican Museums. See more on their Facebo… https://t.co/l5v3FzUfCm
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @ATomasi__: Face reconstruction of Gaius Julius Caesar based on the Tusculum bust, the only remaining bust made during his lifetime (100… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@yaneerbaryam @fabiotavora You need @Jaffer22915438 to get on it. ASAP. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Also I thank @yaneerbaryam for directing me to the portable Hepa filter (see picture below) as, it is turning out, airline precautions may not be sufficient. It is extremely easy to build. https://t.co/zaoMgebbLA — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JMoVS Positive pressure — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@aziade_ @RebelCedar @Extrachelle I was just visiting! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
I am OK was just visiting. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @nntaleb: The Lognormal is a strange but sometimes useful distribution. On the Multivariate Lognormal with Application to Blood Pressur… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The Covid/emergency area of the @AUBMC_Official , a superb hospital by world standards. Nevertheless stretched, overloaded w/patients spillover into vending machines area. Help them in any way you can. They deserve it. @mjsayed A superb hospital. #Lebanon #COVID19 https://t.co/A8fb10fKYl — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mjsayed @nara_champa @aubmc @AUBMC_Official @AUBMCED Deleted and reposted. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The Covid/emergency area of the @AUBMC_Official, a superb hospital by world standards. Nevertheless stretched, overloaded w/patients spillover into vending machines area. Help them in any way you can. They deserve it. @mjsayed A superb hospital. #Lebanon #COVID19 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The Covid/emergency area of @AUBMC, a superb hospital by world standards. Nevertheless stretched, overloaded with patients spilling over into the area for vending machines. Help them in any way you can. They deserve it. @mjsayed A superb hospital. https://t.co/MwL48igzqA — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@normonics @ArieHaziza 25 here — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Saturday PHILOLOGY: LEARNING FROM FOOLS My translation (rhymes): الحكيم بيتعلم من كل بهيم of Ben Zoma's in Pirkei Avot: איזהו חכם הלומד מכל אדם And of course the one attributed to Cato: Wise men learn more from fools than fools from the wise. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @octonion: "Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data show more than 475,000 excess deaths through early December, a time frame th… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The Lognormal is a strange but sometimes useful distribution. On the Multivariate Lognormal with Application to Blood Pressure https://t.co/7ADncRVOm2 via @wordpressdotcom — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@s_baptista Septic or sceptic? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@KenatGV Best of luck! Praying for a successful round. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Abrupt weight loss yields surprising results: reverse atrial remodeling. Just as bariatric surgery unexpedly found to reverses type-2 diabetes (even with impaired insulin production). Medicine did not expect these results: abrupt weight loss is rare. Stressors #Antifragile — PolitiTweet.org
Zaher Toumi MD @ZaherToumi
#sleeve gastrectomy results in ✅ significant improvement in echocardiographic measures of left ventricular diastoli… https://t.co/Om9oAmxrxi
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@flaneurizer @ishirubi @Porkchop_EXP Hint: Obsessive love for a prostitute; obsessive love in Proust that strengthens when one tries to reason it... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@trishankkarthik @LeoChrysafenios Block idiots. Dangerous idiots. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@faisalyaqub You can suspect that the reasoning still holds as it is a lower bound of 1 (you). A >=B holds if A=B. Plus shedding viruses is proportional to symptoms, apparently. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@faisalyaqub Do you evidence against? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @Grand_Continent: La pandémie n’est pas un cygne noir — dès mars 2020 @nntaleb le rappelait. L'analyse qu'il livrait alors sur la gest… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Viruses have #multiplicative risks. #Vaccines don't. Wrong calculus to evaluate the risks of the vaccine v/s those of Covid *to you*. Evaluate the risks of the vaccine *to you* ag. risks of Covid *to others*: the 2-5 pple you may infect & the 2-5 pple they may each infect... — PolitiTweet.org
