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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @RichmanRonald: A fantastic session: thanks to @Sharpe_Actuary for hosting and presenting, and to @MFergal and @MarcosCarreira for their… — PolitiTweet.org
Ronald Richman @RichmanRonald
Our reading club going through the Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) contin… https://t.co/m97cM4n4n0
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @nntaleb: @RichmanRonald @noca_uk Before I figured out a way to block trolls. https://t.co/jKdd0fkisN — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@pmontu33 Some statistician about SCOFT who actually uses Gaussian metrics/Portfolio theory. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@RichmanRonald @noca_uk Before I figured out a way to block trolls. https://t.co/jKdd0fkisN — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Brunoschwalbach @RichmanRonald @Sharpe_Actuary @MFergal @MarcosCarreira Yes the "shadow" underlying was away from the official one. Makes P/C parity weird. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@pauld198 Lslow is short for less slow — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@fumble_lord @KreatorofTweets @NektariaAna No, it is very easy. Semitic lang. are triplets with no vowels. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@riachi_jean @shb3arifni @Iyadboustany Good move. Arabic-to-Lebanese (Levantine) is like Latin with respect not to French but to English. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Firsou @NektariaAna How about "Arabic" music (Anatolian). — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@normonics I love your Tweet, but... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Usual pbm (I can't reply to @NektariaAna in the thread): Whenever the word is in Persian or Indo-Aryan, & exists in Arabic, the origin ~Persian, as here بادنجان. Esp. for Turkish. Arabs were ASSHOLES w/cultural appropriation: Romioi/Levantines, Persians, Chaldeans, Arameans. — PolitiTweet.org
Nektaria Anastasiadou @NektariaAna
Istanbul Greek Idiom #82: Arabs brought the eggplant (badinjan) to Byzantium, where it was renamed μαντζάνα/mantzan… https://t.co/2XvBDgrk4X
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@aleksastunikas @PTetlock @RichmanRonald @MarcosCarreira Someone shd perhaps invite Tetlock as he blocked me on Twitter. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @nntaleb: Open to all. I will be there. BTW (as a small details) Chapter 11 explains clearly how Phil the rat 🐀@ptetlock "Superforecas… — PolitiTweet.org
Ronald Richman @RichmanRonald
Our reading club going through the Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) contin… https://t.co/m97cM4n4n0
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@oldlevantine @Confusezeus Nadim doesn't get the clustering effect. This is common to fake groups. But Nadim is getting funds from them, enough to sway his mind. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @RichmanRonald: Our reading club going through the Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails by Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) continues o… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@CoopersDong Yes, 0-10 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ncweaver You don't have anything else to do today? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
https://t.co/sM1Zk20OFJ — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Answer: the expectation is infinite. There is a tiny (actually 2^10= 1/1024)) probability of getting ZERO in the denominator. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
QUIZ DU JOUR You toss a coin, with H/T. What is the "expected" or "average" ratio of Heads to Tails? Please try to answer without mathematics. {note this is not exactly the problem 👇} — PolitiTweet.org
Michael Harris @mikeharrisNY
Probability is hard and convergence is slow @nntaleb Ratio of occurrences of toss sequences H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H an… https://t.co/m256L3xMws
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mikeharrisNY The ratio is infinite in expectation! There is a non-zero probability of getting a 0 in the denominator. Will pull out the distribution. Indeed probability is hard! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mikeharrisNY Actually sorry it is slow! Will update. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@mikeharrisNY It is not slow here. You must run the cumulative average. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
An interesting historical regularity. Ancient Graeco-Roman historians put Aetiopia and India in the same group; interesting detection because Ethiopians are largely a back-migration from the Caucasus. Arabs connect the Copts & the "Sind & Hind" as descendents of Ham. https://t.co/21rXj7PXBj — PolitiTweet.org
GabrielSaidR @GabrielSaidR
Poster from my office wall with surprisingly specific information on prophets. https://t.co/zzuKXp3qAm
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Mehdi_IR_DC No, 3al indicates elevation. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Know How vs. Know What A truth is that, as much as we enjoy counterintuitive intellectual puzzles, our world owes a lot more to the Teslas than to the Einsteins. Engineers would have figured out the time discrepancies without asking questions. The reverse doesn't work. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
A real test of (un)intelligence: misuse of metaphors. — PolitiTweet.org
Josh Hochschild @JoshHochschild
@normonics @nntaleb In context A just means finding similarity between dissimilar things -- metaphor was his word f… https://t.co/5jDF0xMNla
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Future Correction: "The test of originality for an idea is not the absence of one single predecessor but the presence of multiple but unrelated ones." — PolitiTweet.org
Content Philosopher ☕ @cophilosopher
"The test of originality for an idea is not the absence of one single predecessor but the presence of multiple but… https://t.co/4eLARNZkQV
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @cophilosopher: "The test of originality for an idea is not the absence of one single predecessor but the presence of multiple but incom… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Mehdi_IR_DC No no no עלי= علي https://t.co/1w4cRm2YNu — PolitiTweet.org
