Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked July 29, 2021

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Thu Jul 29 13:57:51 +0000 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

QUIZ DU JOUR You toss a coin, with H/T. What is the "expected" or "average" ratio of Heads to Tails? Please try to answer without mathematics. {note this is not exactly the problem 👇} — PolitiTweet.org

Probability is hard and convergence is slow @nntaleb Ratio of occurrences of toss sequences H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H,H an… https://t.co/m256L3xMws

Posted July 29, 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@mikeharrisNY The ratio is infinite in expectation! There is a non-zero probability of getting a 0 in the denominator. Will pull out the distribution. Indeed probability is hard! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Answer: the expectation is infinite. There is a tiny (actually 2^10= 1/1024)) probability of getting ZERO in the denominator. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 29, 2021