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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@foxyforecaster @hjluks You need hills. Unless you are not fit. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Dr Howard Luks @hjluks sent me a copy of his manuscript on exercise & health. Prompted me to spend > 6 hours a week in what he calls "Zone 2" (depends how it is defined, >60% of Max HR up to 8 hours). (This is in addition to weightlifting). https://t.co/C0dCecFOwq — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
WHAT I LEARNED TODAY The origin of "Truth" seems to be related to ethics, not to the epistemic/scientific. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Interesting: Truth = Justice, Same in Aramaic ܩܘܫܬܐ, classical Arabic, حق, no? But unsure about other Semitic tong… https://t.co/BLGCZh9pnZ
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AukeHunneman @louisCwain Yes but this is not quite robust to be science. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@pauld198 Juste — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This is a horrible use of correlation. If police spending reduces the crime rate, then EX POST there must be NO cross-sectional correlation between crime and police spending. The only way to know is by lagging variables. — PolitiTweet.org
Scott Hechinger @ScottHech
“One might worry that reducing police spending would lead to a spike in crime. A review of spending on state & loca… https://t.co/fKklf…
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@oledanielson Actually, no. If spending on crime reduces crime, then there would be no visible ex post correlation. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Interesting: Truth = Justice, Same in Aramaic ܩܘܫܬܐ, classical Arabic, حق, no? But unsure about other Semitic tongues ( קֹשְׁטְ does not seem to map to ܩܘܫܬܐ). — PolitiTweet.org
Aleksandar Dogandžić @a_dogandzic
@nntaleb In Serbian, "pravda" means justice. It seems also in Russian, at least historically. https://t.co/FX1EDyTImy
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @a_dogandzic: @nntaleb In Serbian, "pravda" means justice. It seems also in Russian, at least historically. https://t.co/FX1EDyTImy — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Jed_Trott If you can guarantee both sales and production costs. Nothing must be variable for it to be pure arbitrage. However it makes much more sense to buy a mine than buy a stock, because of optionality. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@otrasenda_AC I think it was removal of the watch at night. Not sure. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dzviovich @wordpressdotcom Apple only measures at rest. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@zoonlogonekhon 47 seconds! — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Maybe it's a good idea, but the last time someone called a media outlet TRUTH were the Soviets who called the Communist Party's organ PRAVDA (meaning TRUTH in Russkiy). — PolitiTweet.org
BBC News (World) @BBCWorld
Trump to launch new social media platform TRUTH Social https://t.co/xMO3JafajO
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@insurance_news_ All 3 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@insurance_news_ 3 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@elephantgeek @EddyElfenbein IMbecile. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Crypto journalists are as stupid as crypto investors. My central point is the "bearish" point is invalid, not the… https://t.co/SKj6aDyFl9 — PolitiTweet.org
Bloomberg Crypto @crypto
"Black Swan" author Nassim Nicholas Taleb compares Bitcoin to the 17th century bubble in tulip bulbs https://t.co/yhUoAuimo8
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@rudzinskimaciej No — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@AukeHunneman Any way to get a preprint? Where did you read it? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@193cmIQ161 Like Nazi Germany, Poland, etc? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
HRV, when logged becomes similar to white noise. And you can distinguish signal from noise more clearly. https://t.co/JRb166IQCd — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
On Heart Rate Variability (HRV) and Its Mismeasurement https://t.co/scq3v1zmjy via @wordpressdotcom
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Let me repeat it to those unable to get it. I am not "bearish" on #BTC. It is a tulip-bubble (without the aesthetics & disguized as a "currency"), hence it is as irrational to buy it as it is to SHORT it, perhaps even more. Gabish? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
1860s, 1970s, #Lebanon 1850s, 1860s, 2010s, #Syria 1890, 1917, 1950s, #Ottoman pre and post #Turkey 1930s #Mesopotamia Never forget that "secularism" is no protection, makes minorities maximally vulnerable. — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Messina @TMessi_1
Your neighbor is not your worst enemy, that is until the pogrom.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@dmisic @WWMGT @divbyzero He is talking about exposures. More variables reduce exposures when you split across variables. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@JamesMarsh79 @Danilo19053632 @LIHF_Living @DougMcGuff SS gets you strong. They are not into general health. So no negative there. I do both. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@abusyhippie @businessbarista @balajis FUcking idiot, I block trolls not people who disagree with me. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@WWMGT @divbyzero No, you need to divide variance by 100. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
No — PolitiTweet.org
Martin Gardner tweet @WWMGT
The same computation shows that 100 independent exposures to a 1% risk leads to over 63% risk of at least one expos… https://t.co/Y6VsoSylPF
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @trishankkarthik: I just wanted to say that this "DEADLIFT IN DAVOS" coffee mug featuring @nntaleb, @otrasenda_AC, and myself makes my m… — PolitiTweet.org
