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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@hjluks @willhenrytweets @golchha_J @altini_marco @digvijoy_c @AliciaFilley @LaRepublica2020 @PolarGlobal OK, OK. Just came back from the gym, 70 min Z2. 1) Should every session be 90m? 2) What is optimal total time per week? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@trishankkarthik friendships — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@trishankkarthik This is a message to get less fragile friendship. For if he reacts that way for small things he will do much worse for bigger things. Get more honorable friends. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@bogdancpopescu @TMessi_1 @ban_kanj So far data shows >> up to Delta. But you revise with more information. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@JamesMarsh79 This is the real inflation, the real money supply. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Well done. The embassy of Saudi Barbaria is across from "Jamal Khashoggi Way". https://t.co/ZkvLGWF0wQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@ceo_of_the_moon @TMessi_1 @ban_kanj This is imbecilic. Like saying: planes are not crashing, let's not have security. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) It is the same with Hayek. A lot of people cite him not realizing he was in favor of Govt for "wars and epidemics". As a matter of fact, Govt is the tail risk manager, shd not be intruding in your business and other matters not related to macro tail risks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@TMessi_1 @ban_kanj Even I, in favor of mandates of sort, have that as an exclusion. Previous infection = vaccine, biweekly testing = vaccine. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Few Covidopaths are circulating a statement from my Principia saying the majority should not coerce the minority. Misses the earlier statment in Principia that this does not apply to pandemics where risks don't scale properly; minority threatens majority. The Gov main role is PP. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@DezoMesko Fcking idiot he was never my friend. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@lecaester You don't understand that traitors are shot. Not enemies. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@scmarco69 You don't get it. It is not about vaccines but integrity. He can go smear other people. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

I guess a "6-pack-at-60" doesn't map into integrity. Of the 000s vaxx advocates, don't *specifically* target someone you previously called a "friend", & bite the hand that fed you, unless you were a despicable fake all along. Surprisingly, there are very few other fakes. https://t.co/vRbudvA66c — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

One can also get some idea whether vaccines reduce spreading (aside from reducing mortality). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@MasaSkiba @Jordan_BT07 You mean he never helped my career. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Jordan_BT07 I was never friends, never met him, never interacted. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

If you disagree w/someone's public stance, you either contact personally, quietly unfollow, or (civilized) stay friends & accept that there are differences of opinion. But to switch to publicly targeting or support smear campaigns (when there are others to target) is abhorent. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

I guess a "6-pack-at-60" doesn't map into integrity. Of the thousands of vaccine advocates on Twitter, don't *specifically* target someone who was your "friend" for their opinion, unless you were a despicable fake all along. Despicable fake. https://t.co/NAgMiSSjFp — PolitiTweet.org

GuruAnaerobic @GuruAnaerobic

As one door closes, others open. NNT was good to me; paid my accommodation and flight to NYC in 2018. I've never s… https://t.co/gtbjY2cEmo

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

In primitive, martial societies, & the mob, a man becomes a full man by killing another man. In civilized society, you don't become a full person until you help in saving someone else's life, or, at least, in improving someone else's condition. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@hjluks @digvijoy_c @trishankkarthik @golchha_J @altini_marco @AliciaFilley @LaRepublica2020 @PolarGlobal Must then… https://t.co/uuIoY7UvRD — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@hjluks @trishankkarthik @golchha_J @altini_marco @digvijoy_c @AliciaFilley @LaRepublica2020 @PolarGlobal Yes but if you lower your resting hearbeat you end up well ahead. And the integral 30mn Zone 4 is less than the integral 90mn Zone 2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@hjluks @golchha_J @altini_marco @digvijoy_c @AliciaFilley @LaRepublica2020 @PolarGlobal HR exercises? haematologic remission haemorrhagic retinopathy hairpin ribozyme histamine release histamine receptor homing receptor homologous repeat hormone receptor hospital record hospital report hospitalisation rate hyperimmune reaction hypoxic response — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@hjluks @golchha_J @altini_marco @digvijoy_c @AliciaFilley @LaRepublica2020 @PolarGlobal The idea is compliance. I love to walk slowly (flaneuring) but I hate explicit exercise. I can stick to a regimen of 20-30 min at high intensity. The other thing, when in my village or in the Med (or Highland NC), to do 200 min of vertical drop with a 15% slope nonstop. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@hjluks @golchha_J @altini_marco @digvijoy_c @AliciaFilley @LaRepublica2020 @PolarGlobal Howard, can there be harm from >80% with such a frequency? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@10kdiver In other words, more precisely [depends if S is defined as > or >=] S[Binomial Distribution[n,1/n],0]= 1- (1-1/n)^n — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@hjluks @golchha_J @altini_marco @digvijoy_c @AliciaFilley @LaRepublica2020 @PolarGlobal I have been doing 30m a day at >80% for a month with huge gains. In addition to rest. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@hjluks @golchha_J @altini_marco @digvijoy_c @AliciaFilley @LaRepublica2020 @PolarGlobal Dottore, I get most of my bang from this. Nothing seems to bring my heart rate to 80-90% better than stairs. This is not as good as outside but a good proxy. What do you think? https://t.co/3TABtJZYAX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

An excellent macro way to get a grip on counterfactual of live saved by vaccines. h/t Dan from Prague @maircomm — PolitiTweet.org

John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch

...and second, the ratio of the acute metrics to cases. In well-vaxxed Netherlands and UK, cases have climbed clos… https://t.co/5NmcLB6yne

Posted Dec. 9, 2021
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@10kdiver So it is basically the survival function of the Binomial: S[Binomial Distribution[n,p],1], with n=100,p=1/100 and n=1000,p=1/1000 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021