Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 22, 2021

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Thu Dec 09 11:47:58 +0000 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@10kdiver So it is basically the survival function of the Binomial: S[Binomial Distribution[n,p],1], with n=100,p=1/100 and n=1000,p=1/1000 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @10kdiver: Which of these is MORE likely: A “once in a 100 year” event happening at least once in the next 100 years, [OR] A “once in… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 9, 2021 Retweet

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

An excellent macro way to get a grip on counterfactual of live saved by vaccines. h/t Dan from Prague @maircomm — PolitiTweet.org

...and second, the ratio of the acute metrics to cases. In well-vaxxed Netherlands and UK, cases have climbed clos… https://t.co/5NmcLB6yne

Posted Dec. 9, 2021