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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@bblsrfr_ I block idiots, sorry. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
In Olympic days, a winning athlete was in the tails, but still close to other humans-- say the equivalent of someone 1.95m tall; rare but still very human. Today, because of the increase in the population involved, an athlete is equivalent to someone 2.15m tall. Much less human. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@frank87628630 @trishankkarthik Paper coming on why it is only Lindy for a small circle. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@wealthyom I rarely have bread, almost never sugar. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Post lent, LDL cholesterol is 83, total 132. (Zone 2 exercise of >300 min/week could also have contributed; but no other change otherwise). The lab person: "We never seen this in adults not on statins". Few people stick to the full Orthodox Calendar. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
What people don't know is that the Greek-Orthodox have a completely different cuisine than other communities. Given… https://t.co/ytMfwdsLr7
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@trishankkarthik @bg_anders @Smooth8711 @elonmusk He never understood Simpson's paradox. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This is Russian Propaganda; exactly 100% backwards. Idiots believe this. In 1984, there was no web; governments had total control of information. In 2022 things are more transparent, so we see imperfections. THE TRANSPARENCY EFFECT: the more things improve the worse they look. https://t.co/Wm0LoFAVOR — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
This is Russian Propaganda; exactly 100% backwards. Idiots believe this. In 1984, there was no web; governments had total control of information. In 2022 things are more transparent, so we see imperfections. THE TRANSPARENCY EFFECT: the more things improve the worse they look. — PolitiTweet.org
Frans Koenz @FransKoenz
https://t.co/sI10qJJfVe
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) The proof. https://t.co/ok8weomHxS — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@omar_ghyad Sorry! Glad she stayed in the family. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
...and welcome home Dr Kharrat. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
A reminder. Do not set foot in the UAE unless 1) you never had social media activities, 2) your most aggressive hobby is stamp collecting, 3) your occupation has the placidity of grammar specialists 4) You never studied labor laws, AND 5) you are not Shiite or Christian Lebanese. — PolitiTweet.org
L'Orient Today @lorienttoday
Richard Kharrat, a Lebanese gynecologist who had been in custody for a month in Abu Dhabi over tweets deemed offens… https://t.co/yUkFoQWMQt
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Put Call Parity argument vs Dynamic Hedging. https://t.co/0pZEkXhvHI — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Explains that monstrously missed concept: stop before you become miserable. — PolitiTweet.org
zerohedge @zerohedge
"F**k You" Money https://t.co/U0r6fhtWEN
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@DrGeneCallahan @elonmusk Take some rest, long walks, and you will get better and your mind will get clearer. My recommendation, to start. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@DrGeneCallahan @elonmusk It is mysterious that you are unable to read a tweet. How about reading it a second time? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@cuigno Grazie tanto! Adesso in: francese, italiano, greco, galiziano, farsi, ucraino, hindi, cinese... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @cuigno: @nntaleb Italian version, Mr. Taleb! https://t.co/NLfyqBwJSz — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Confusezeus @PoliticsLevant These are the verses. Some are reconstructed by Damascene artisans in the 1950s. https://t.co/jgSg05khza — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @djc795: @Uqayyum123 @DavidLBrownMD @drjohnm @PraveenRangana9 @RonBlankstein @khurramn1 @RFRedberg @BudoffMd @MichaelJBlaha @dmljmd @car… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@sez_dss Aya ligha? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@RDouady @joe_shipman 1) This is NOT a general statement; it is clear to what you are referring to. 2) Easy way to backtrack, but, no. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@rustcohlnikov @BzhClair No, 2. and can cover ambiguously — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@rustcohlnikov @BzhClair by — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@anomalyuk Yes re read — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) But if you use TWTR's relative price from January, implied odds of nobody buying it ~25%, Musk <25%. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Value_Quant How about using 1 year ago? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
NOT SO FAST The implied probability of Twitter being bought by *someone* is ~50%. The implied probability of Twitter being bought by Musk is <50%. Very rough calc: TWTR is ~10% > than Nasdaq over 12 months (before accumulation), and abt >10% lower than Musk's acquisition price. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
NOT SO FAST The implied probability of Twitter being bought by *someone* is ~50%. The implied probability of Twitter being bought by Must is <50%. Very rough calc: TWTR is ~10% > than Nasdaq over 12 months (before accumulation), and abt >10% lower than Musk's acquisition price. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@BzhClair 2 fautes. and *for* violating *citizens'* — PolitiTweet.org