Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@geoffreydgraham @DonJRobertson Geoff, when some (nonscholarly) bloke invoke "mistakes" without anything precise, you are entitled to ask for some details. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

To repeat, while I've seen gluts not followed by squeezes, I've never seen a squeeze not followed by a glut. https://t.co/zxrrnQu7fi — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@rorysutherland My best days are those in which I lose my wallet and end up finding it. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@jamisontrane @BeachsideWriter No, much older risk aversion. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@BeachsideWriter Not Tversky — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Something vastly worse than losing a bundle: making a bundle then losing all of it back. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3/ I made sure to confuse them by also telling them I was Lebanese, but to these receptionists anything East of France was the same thing, could all be subsumed under the designation "Iran". — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2/ Actually I was once invited to lecture in the House of Commons (UK). The receptionists wd not let me in without a tie (even though I was wearing a suit). I told them I was Iranian & ties were taboo. They looked up the rules allowing "traditional" clothes & let me in. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@integralsbot @infseriesbot 2- We have a brilliant solution by @arthurzqx [in thread below] via Dirichlet kernels. I am stuck, but close, using special functions, but it pays to be stubborn here. A small trick is needed for N->infinity and a transformation T->T/2 since tan(.) has half the periodicity of f. https://t.co/OLM39cCyoj — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@JordanHedberg @rorysutherland says working outside feels like not working. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@arthurzqx @integralsbot @infseriesbot Yes trying to bridge the second and third line. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@SaadMaan15 @pauld198 Bank means desk (or comptoir, or Trapeza), so it is broken bank. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

BS du Jour — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@arthurzqx @integralsbot @infseriesbot Hi there How about this angle? Just hit me via polygamma https://t.co/4KKCgSu6HN — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@GSpier @JMihaljevic @lookcycle Alas I am closer to your part of the Mediterranean. Are you there full time? — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@JMihaljevic @GSpier @lookcycle And great hills. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@GSpier That is exactly my point. It is not about the workout. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@pauld198 They stopped beheading bankers — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Cyclists overpay for uncomfortable lighter bikes w/fragile thin wheels that can go faster with less effort per mile. They claim they bike to get fitter, not realizing they then should have bicycles that require more effort per mile. Actually Pelotons require infinite work/mile. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@HomegrownJoan2 @SaadMaan15 Actually a "speech" involves a trip to Asia (1 day each direction), 2 dinners, meetings, etc. 4-5 days work. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

RT @MasaSkiba: "Janet Yellen at the FED is equivalent to having a biology schoolteacher who has never seen blood perform brain surgery." -… — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Yellen and Bernanke illustrate the mistake of putting academics with no financial risk-taking experience in charge of decisions, in addition to the Skin in the Game Problem: “I was wrong” comes with NO punishment. https://t.co/NEgXyYXtvL — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@jorgenponder @YouTube What I have is the lower bound. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

No, Covid is not an "old" person's problem. https://t.co/Ur9jLzLTda via @YouTube — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

4) Here is my comment on the Hanke study establishing no benefits to lockdowns. [Also note that lockdowns no longer make sense now; they were useful in buying time until we figured out better treatments & developed vaccines] https://t.co/9rUPC1BDzC — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3) And Covid reduced life expectancy across the board by ~2 y. https://t.co/l6UU6ncygR — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) A better analogy: "we should eliminate airport checks SINCE there have been no terrorist incidents", which was actually uttered by a politician. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Assuming it is true (it's not), this idiot is committing the standard retrospective distortion (intro of #TheBlackSwan): + Airlines spend $$$ on copilots, w/benefits that are "practically non-existent". + I spent $$$ on fire insurance, "there is no evidence" it was useful. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@AndreaSamore @financequant High wnd has only been up — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

The Peter Carr Memorial Conference starts Thursday, at @nyutandon, NYU's Tandon School of Engineering. One can attend virtually. The topics are mostly on financial derivatives & functions of stochastic processes. RIP https://t.co/FzN4KUWroM — PolitiTweet.org