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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@trishankkarthik It IS outside the expected range. There is climate change: higher volatility. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
4/ https://t.co/6XtxVHvU79 — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Lying (outside of white lies) is a sin, except when some busybody asks you something personal that's none of their… https://t.co/m2kRMR0mp0
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
3/ Exceptions: it is permissible,even recommended to lie to journalists asking silly or private questions ("Where did you learn French? I don't speak French, I am faking (in French),"; "YoB? 1924"; "What book influenced you the most? The bicycle repair manual"... — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2/ Herodotus: Persian education consists in teaching children to ride horses, shoot arrows, and tell the truth. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@BitPaine @LynAldenContact @udiWertheimer Liar. I did not block her. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@altini_marco @Shiyanying @hjluks Removing ectopic beats *decreases* HRV, no? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Nlitsardopoulos They still changed language & culture, as in Asia Minor. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@Nlitsardopoulos Not the point. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
I got hoarse warning you about Pinker. — PolitiTweet.org
Steven Pinker @sapinker
A bold idea: NATO offers to withdraw nukes from Europe (militarily useless, ineffective deterrents as we’ve just se… https://t.co/pTGc5y1u1c
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@RichardDNagel Same problem — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@davidboxenhorn You good. Very good. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Lies multiply, branching out into more lies; truth doesn't. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Well... Isn't Hungary itself a mixture of locals and nomadic Huns from Central Asia? So past mixtures are exempt? — PolitiTweet.org
Spencer Wells @spwells
Hungary’s far-right prime minister says countries where races mingle are ‘no longer nations’ 🇭🇺 https://t.co/FOQC5UqP7g
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@altini_marco @Shiyanying @hjluks This covers also 2Y so no apparent seasonality in net effect, perhaps in the periodic swings. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
If you don't know precisely what will make you go bust, you will go bust. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@carefullycnsdrd I also use for handle #RWRI as it is broader. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@altini_marco @Shiyanying @hjluks RHR is same (in the 40s) but over 20 months post switching from weighlifting to balanced: 30-60 METS/h per week aerobic exercise, and reduced weightlifting, focusing on higher volume clean-presses. Could also be weightloss. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@altini_marco @Shiyanying @hjluks To what do you attribute this solid upward trend? — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Because of squeezes (and lack of fungibility), electricity is the fattest tailed variable known to me. It is low volatility most of the time then exhibits blowups. London was forced to pay 5000% higher prices over a short period. #Squeeze #RWRI #RWRI17 https://t.co/8EQti2hqGe — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @TamerTSalameh: Thank you 4 #RWRI17 - @nntaleb, @trishankkarthik, @ArieHaziza, @dzviovich, @RDouady, @financequant, @vtchakarova, @joony… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
RT @NonMeek: "SLAPPING PESKY OUTLIERS" ...now available as coffee mug and/or framed poster here 👇💥 [mug] https://t.co/jQEIh5gBg5 [poster]… — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@NahanniFinanci1 @alwyn_lau No, sumac with eggs. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@alwyn_lau Georgia and North Lebanon. Bread baked with eggs. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@pauld198 @altini_marco @hjluks Not necessarily. It is about the vagal tone, related but not fully parasympathetic/symp balance. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Probability du Jour Some intuitions. The Central Limit Theorem, part 1 (simple case of iid), part 2 (relaxed assumption of identical), with intuition linking Lindeberg [Feller's argument] to the Max/Sum. Next step, more Russian-style complicated probability bounds for sums. https://t.co/su2nUueScB — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ginsbergonomics @altini_marco @hjluks You didn't seem to get that my methods TAKES into account such noise. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@hjluks @altini_marco Apple watch samples at random times. No need to try to do it yourself as you can't replicate the same conditions. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
The 2nd most robust intelligence test: check how much one's belief cluster, particularly on uncorrelated matters. The most stupid hold beliefs that are negatively correlated: like libertarians pro-Putin, anti-war pro-Russia, liberals pro-Salafi, or psychologists pro-science. — PolitiTweet.org
Alec MacGillis @AlecMacGillis
Have often wondered the same thing as Janan Ganesh: https://t.co/oZYAMTHW0C https://t.co/5qQdjx3wXO
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@cbeyzad @shaarsh2 All I can recommend is for you to stay away from data and evidence. It is certainly not your thing. — PolitiTweet.org
Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
@ubernion @altini_marco @hjluks Gaussian — PolitiTweet.org
