Alex Roarty

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

what i'm saying is this is not a terrible, terrible poll for national Dems, despite the topline number — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@katherinemiller politics maybe becomes slightly more local this year? — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

a race that Dems lose narrowly in Wisconsin (which this poll suggests) will disappoint some in the party, but is probably a good sign for incumbents like Hassan or Kelly who are widely viewed to be in more favorable races than MB — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @daveweigel: 14 years of this! Two members of the New Black Panther Party stood outside a 90% Dem precinct in Philly and we will hear ab… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @williamjordann: Both Democrats and Republicans express worry about threats to our democracy. What do they mean by it? - 79% or Ds “can… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @amandalitman: “Messaging” is an easy target for pundits, but this midterm was always going to be hard for Democrats for primarily struc… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @BryanLowry3: Five years later with a different governor, one expert tells @KCStar that KS still gets an F on transparency under Kelly.… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @BiancaJoanie: “Charlie is running against Donald Trump incarnate,” Biden told a group of donors at a fundraiser in Golden Beach, 1 of 3… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@DrewSav 58-38 good enough for Fetterman in that district? — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @Garrett_Archer: I don't know who 'they" are so I am defaulting to the Underpants Gnomes. It's a generation thing. https://t.co/3ejPN1B… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

rest of the nfl seems convinced the steelers offense was holding back Claypool moreso than Claypool (partially) holding back the Steelers offense, and I wish them the very best of luck with that — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@TimCameron is it? i remember obama scrapping the bottom of the barrel in '14. — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@NickRiccardi @BenjySarlin a tricky balance sometimes between recognizing that reality but not dismissing out of hand that this time might be different. ... even though it probably isn't. — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

i'd add that candidate quality obviously can still matter no matter what happened in '14 -- just look at '18! Tester and Manchin won states that Trump romped to victory in. And if things had gone s midge better for Clinton in '16, we'd be talking about Jason Kander's re-elect rn — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@BenjySarlin Cotton was exhibit A of that! He voted against the Farm Bill and it prompted a whole round of speculation he was blowing a race he should easily win. And then, at least by the final vote tally, he did easily win. (tho there are GOPers who would tell you that race broke v v late) — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

but the lesson would be the same in both, if the GOP actually wins all these toss-ups: Candidate quality can appear to matter over the summer and even into the fall. But eventually, the national environment wins out — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

2014 was different from 2022 in that the Dems hope for over-performing the national environment was rooted in incumbents w/strong reputations in very red states (Pryor, Landrieu, etc ...). In '22, it's more about weak GOP candidates in purple states (Oz, Walker, etc ...) — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@elonmusk please fix this too — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

We simply don’t hear enough about Hollywood’s blatant, shameful anti-Ferrari agenda https://t.co/BU2uOF65xO — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @benbwieder: Charlie Crist is taking on Democratic bogeyman Ron DeSantis in the race for Florida governor. So why has Crist's fundraisin… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@gelliottmorris @NickRiccardi @JamesSurowiecki "the Times/Siena poll showed the same thing," he screamed, descending into a cross-tab induced fit of madness — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@NickRiccardi @JamesSurowiecki @gelliottmorris i would like to see a theory beyond "Dobbs wore off" to explain a shift like that — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

tl;dr One more data point that guv races don't motivate the online liberal donor base. Even when the guy you're running against is emerging as a national boogeyman https://t.co/xivgSsArs2 — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

An eye-popping stat: Val Demings, his compatriot on the ticket in Florida, has raised about $38 million in small-dollar contributions. Crist? He's raised about $5 million https://t.co/xivgSsArs2 — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Ron DeSantis would seem like the perfect candidate to run against if you wanted to motivate the Dems army of online small-$ donors. But Charlie Crist has found out -- despite trying -- that tapping that waterfall isn't so easy https://t.co/xivgSsArs2 — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

RT @AJentleson: Love Shapiro but the big lesson that Democrats can draw from his campaign is that it is good to have an opponent and their… — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Moreso than any one poll, the numbers included here are the most worrying data set for Dems this morning — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

@JoshSchwerin @Rob_Flaherty going to call my shot now and say it's inevitable one of them stumbles into the The Raven and once again turns it into DC's It Bar — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Whole city of Liverpool has to call it “soccer” the rest of the weekend — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Roarty @Alex_Roarty

Keep waiting for Kevin Brown to emerge from the Phillis bullpen and ruin my childhood again — PolitiTweet.org