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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@mattyglesias I think Afghanistan is a good argument in favor of "vibes" TBH! Not something Americans have terribly strong feelings about or which even really received all that much attention after the initial burst of coverage, but which maybe served as an inflection point nonetheless. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@ashishkjha At the risk of [gulp] complicating things ... I guess it goes without saying that your advice would also apply to people who have 2 doses + prior COVID? — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@mattyglesias @chrislhayes @benyt @ryanavent Yeah, or say, "who should get the vaccine first?" which has some technical dimensions (e.g. you could model how different strategies would reduce deaths etc.) but which is mostly not a technical question and which the experts charged with deciding mostly didn't treat as such. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@chrislhayes @benyt @ryanavent @mattyglesias I'm a broken record on this, but I think the missing ingredient in this conversation is educational polarization. It creates *a lot* of issues when nearly all experts in a given domain are clustered toward one end of the political spectrum. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@Kevmath Any chance of getting more non hold 'em side events next year? I think the most fun I had at the WSOP this year (OK apart from making a final table) was playing a $250 HORSE event. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
It was pretty obvious all along that we'd eventually approve Booster Shots For All and I'm not sure what we accomplished by hedging except for probably making the winter wave mildly worse. — PolitiTweet.org
NPR @NPR
JUST IN: The FDA is expected to announce later this week that it will grant Emergency Use Authorization for all adu… https://t.co/5bdwTw63PN
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@daraokearney I think one issue is that a pretty good share of Aldemir's Jx hands as well as 99 and QTs are supposed mix in a lot of calling preflop, or at least that's what I'd be thinking if I talked myself into this call as Lococo. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Was hoping that the last hand of poker I ever played at the Rio would be one that involved me winning a tournament—or failing that, some bad beat, or daring bluff gone wrong. Instead it was a Pot-Limit Omaha hand that I totally butchered. — PolitiTweet.org
WSOP @WSOP
The 53rd Annual World Series of Poker will be held at @BallysVegas & @ParisVegas, May 31-July 19, 2022 w/ actor, c… https://t.co/vvMHi…
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Inflation is literally one of the most visible, bread-and-butter impacts that a voter will ever encounter. If you claim that concern about inflation is just a matter of media bias, it really undermines that argument when you make it about other things (e.g. CRT or Afghanistan). — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Yep, and there is also lots of robust historical precedent for voters caring about inflation. You can't wish everything away by blaming the media for covering the news. — PolitiTweet.org
Noah Smith 🐇 @Noahpinion
I doubt this is true. Real wages have been falling, even though nominal wages have been rising, simply because it's… https://t.co/vqRA8k2jTC
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
If election polling is broken, then issue polling is broken too. And it'll get more broken if people stop polling elections, which is by far the best way to ensure that polls are calibrated to reality. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@mattyglesias There are lots of contenders for top progressive linguistic self-owns, but "Let's take an extremely popular (equality) and instead use a slightly different word that means a slightly different thing, even though both are directionally similar to what we want" is high on the list. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I've been sort of surprised how early/openly lukewarm Democratic elites have been on Kamala Harris's 2024/28 prospects, but worth remembering she never got much elite support in 2020. Never endorsed by any U.S. Senator, and only her home-state governor. https://t.co/94DaJVV0yv — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@jbarro I guess my point is just that how much demand there is to live in the Bay Area is pretty ambiguous and I don't know how well housing prices speak to that. Subjectively, I think SF has better substitutes (LA, Texas, Florida) than say NYC and that gives it greater downside risk. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@jbarro FWIW, the Bay Area's population has actually grown slower than the US average since 1990, which surprises me a bit given the tech boom and that temperate-weather metros have mostly grown very quickly during that period. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
p.s. If you think you're *not* eligible then maybe you haven't looked at the criteria. 74%+ of adults have a BMI of 25+, which makes them eligible. Other very common conditions: depression, current *or* ex-smoker, high blood pressure, recent pregnancy. https://t.co/FeN7eJ6c8Q — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I would think this has to be better than the current CDC approach under which maybe ~90% of adults are eligible for a booster (if enough time out from their previous dose) but the criteria are confusing and many of them likely don't know it. — PolitiTweet.org
Mark D. Levine @MarkLevineNYC
BREAKING: NYC Health Dept authorizes covid booster shots for *all* NYers aged 18+, as long as at least 6 months sin… https://t.co/ITQtL1igjL
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@richardmskinner If Eric Adams has a reasonably good tenure as NYC mayor (which, not easy, granted) then he'll shoot up these lists. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@pokerkat Great playing with you! Was a fun table... wish I'd lasted a bit longer. Congrats on the cash! — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@bendreyfuss The obvious answer is Southwest Florida but (depending on how we're defining "America") you might think about Costa Rica. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@bendreyfuss The obvious answer is Southeast Florida but (depending on how we're defining "America") you might think about Costa Rica. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The rare occasion when things get a lot *better* if you read the fine print. https://t.co/haQnHxncrw — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @maxtmcc: there’s a town called Freedom where both Biden and Trump got 538 votes https://t.co/C2wVDMdlSk — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@ForecasterEnten FYI, the casinos will give you as much free A&W as you want so long as you continue gambling! — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@ForecasterEnten I am trying to imagine you in Las Vegas. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@JonathanLittle I try to win the big pots and lose the small pots! — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Was going to do a "How it started / How it's going" meme with my WSOP Main Event chip stack except I don't have very many low-denomination chips so it doesn't make for much of a visual impression (171K now vs 60k starting). But should be a fun Day 3 tomorrow! https://t.co/lbM5jopNMG — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@SeanTrende Yeah I think sushi alone probably accounts for its own peak for me. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@SeanTrende I have a bimodal peak. https://t.co/woJ2hpRUx6 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@jeremyfaust Yeah, for sure, it has highly visible effects. — PolitiTweet.org
