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Showing page 19 of 910.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Parts of the article are dumb BTW. Like in that paragraph above, the books had incentives that were *very* generous to players to the point that it tanked their stock prices so it wasn't some super clever move. Mainstream media reporting on gambling often bad. But still. 😂 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Somewhat hilariously got served a FanDuel ad offering a risk-free bet when viewing the NYT article about sportsbetting companies offering people risk-free bets. https://t.co/oGvYcUyoOO https://t.co/ehxc8J5Lid — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ThisWeekABC: “Clearly, Trump has a lot going for him, including the loyalty of a large majority of Republican voters, but is he the fro… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @waitbutwhy: So there are kind of three tiers of World Cup teams: 1) Teams with a chance to win, who would be crushed not to make the s… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Mastodon seems like a honeytrap for hall-monitor personality types. Honestly if Elon gets all the hall monitors to migrate to Mastodon that might be his greatest contribution toward the betterment of humanity. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
It doesn't matter that much. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@wwwojtekk Oh no. Oh no no no no. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
If you tried to apply some vaguely objective critieria, I'm not sure Qatar would make the top 100 counties in which to host a World Cup. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The part of Twitter that would be most annoying to lose is as professional networking service. Have been interviewing a ton of people for a book project and probably 60% of interviews originate w/Twitter DM. Higher success rate than email; easier than tracking down a phone #. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I am *not* planning on writing a newsletter but out of an abundance of caution, just on the **off-chance** that something goes wrong with Twitter (hard as that might be to imagine) you'll be able to find me here I guess: https://t.co/PJo0WIIsuQ — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@VitalikButerin Maybe you could accomplish it with fonts e.g. * Helvetica ("just the facts") * Times New Roman (making an argument, maybe with a little "spin") * Comic Sans (trolling or wildly speculating) — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @Tonyhkchow: The most important bit of news today is that our #WorldCup predictions are live! Brazil with the highest odds to win it al… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Well, since Trump declared, I guess we're doing this: some thoughts on 2024. https://t.co/GMLwfcfj06 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm Yeah. It's very loosely-defined at this stage. And this is fairly low-stakes polling, so pollsters may not even care particularly. It's worth following the trends, and also whether one candidate (more likely RDS) does better narrower samples. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm Probably a world's worth of differences in what pollsters construe as the electorate. "Likely GOP primary voters" very different from "All GOP and GOP-leaning adults". — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm Yep. There's 2 here and one other I've seen on Twitter but hasn't made it to our site yet. https://t.co/U5ouQ05emz — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm There have been 2 or 3 other nonpartisan polls that also show DeSantis ahead though. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@dwallacewells I am pretty skeptical that one can learn much from the deleted tweets give the "Streisand Effect"-like phenomenon of the deleted tweets probably getting more attention than the non-deleted tweets. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@Chris_arnade Yes. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
It's not quite a matter of me "taking things into consideration". The pollster ratings are determined by a formula, not my subjective view of how much I like a pollster. But since Trafalgar had an awful 2022, they're going to do much worse once the ratings are recalcualted. — PolitiTweet.org
Polling USA @USA_Polling
So, @NateSilver538, take this into consideration when thinking about giving Trafalgar anything higher than a D+ on… https://t.co/DJfOsVgIBC
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
It's not quite a matter of me "taking into things into consideration". The pollster ratings are determined by a formula, not my subjective view of how much I like a pollster. But since Trafalgar had an awful 2022, they're going to do much worse once the ratings are recalcualted. — PolitiTweet.org
Polling USA @USA_Polling
So, @NateSilver538, take this into consideration when thinking about giving Trafalgar anything higher than a D+ on… https://t.co/DJfOsVgIBC
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
"Don't count Trump out!" remains one of the laziest political takes, you bear no risk by saying it especially because you're arguing against a straw-man: everyone is always meticulously careful *not* to count Trump out post-2016. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@SeanTrende Yeah I kind of wish I'd pre-registered a list of 100 people/publications/organizations for whom it would be a bad sign for Trump if they grew more Trump-skeptical. It feels like we've cut pretty deep into that list, but I'm not sure if I'm cherry-picking. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Good examples of bad COVID takes driving out accurate/fair/sane ones on Twitter. There are some batshit crazy takes on here, occasionally by people with MD or MPH in their titles, but they're a nasty crew to argue with so people with more accurate information give up. — PolitiTweet.org
zeynep tufekci @zeynep
So what's viral on Twitter when scientists are silenced? Mass Omicron infections every two weeks! (No). Monkeypo… https://t.co/hahScNxrv4
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Nothing I said remotely implies that we "shouldn't be on guard against surprising, terrible news". But we should also be able to celebrate good news, surprising or otherwise. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There's a fairly annoying fashion on this website, especially on the left, to never want to appear too optimistic even when the situation warrants it. It is unambiguously good news that election deniers are mostly losing and also mostly conceding. — PolitiTweet.org
Brian Schatz @brianschatz
I am reluctant to be too optimistic but this seems like a genuinely good sign. We all benefit if election denial is… https://t.co/MqG60PIGY3
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Has implications for GOP POTUS/VP candidate recruitment down the line. The midterm of the other party's first term in office is where a lot of your future prospects come from. GOP nominated bad candidates, and mostly lost swing state Gov & Senate races. — PolitiTweet.org
Conor Sen @conorsen
Something crazy is just how few new statewide GOP officials there will be in 2022. Might be as few as 2 governors a… https://t.co/Wlt7aYZyow
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
D overperformance in swing states/districts, though. In most though not all cases, this *was* in line with the polls, too. But less in line with theories of uniform swing. The below is a really interesting question. https://t.co/OmIeNkuLTy — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Zeitlin @MattZeitlin
i wonder if voters are getting more informed and "better" at voting, ie that even though there was probably a GOP p… https://t.co/ULEaV5qm5e
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Generic ballot polling average did very very good. https://t.co/UmZw9ajlia — PolitiTweet.org
Patrick Ruffini @PatrickRuffini
This has now shifted to R 50.0, D 48.0 with yesterday’s vote drops. Points to an R+1 environment accounting for unc… https://t.co/ZlPsEYAw5D
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@mattyglesias Not inclined to give credit to a guy who first moved to Chicago in his 20s. — PolitiTweet.org
