Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 4, 2023

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Tue Nov 15 13:55:06 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"Don't count Trump out!" remains one of the laziest political takes, you bear no risk by saying it especially because you're arguing against a straw-man: everyone is always meticulously careful *not* to count Trump out post-2016. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende Yeah I kind of wish I'd pre-registered a list of 100 people/publications/organizations for whom it would be a bad sign for Trump if they grew more Trump-skeptical. It feels like we've cut pretty deep into that list, but I'm not sure if I'm cherry-picking. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 15, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not quite a matter of me "taking into things into consideration". The pollster ratings are determined by a formula, not my subjective view of how much I like a pollster. But since Trafalgar had an awful 2022, they're going to do much worse once the ratings are recalcualted. — PolitiTweet.org

So, @NateSilver538, take this into consideration when thinking about giving Trafalgar anything higher than a D+ on… https://t.co/DJfOsVgIBC

Posted Nov. 15, 2022 Deleted after a minute Just a Typo