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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Do we really want competent people in the security apparatus resigning at this point? — PolitiTweet.org

Patterico @Patterico

This is the dude who saw the COVID crisis coming before basically anyone else in the federal government. https://t.co/h52AAa9JI1

Posted Jan. 7, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MattGlassman312 Not clear but Hawley may still object to Pennsylvania. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 7, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @JohnBranchNYT: Front page, Jan. 7, 2021. https://t.co/2f6zWDnIjy — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 7, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So 14 Republicans who said they planned to oppose Electoral College certification, plus 8 who were undecided, turned into just 6 who did after the violence today. Not a clean sweep but meaningful movement against Trump. https://t.co/2NSHPBTgqW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 7, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The liveblog is back on again, although we're mostly going to be just sitting here and watching with you so it will be pretty low key. https://t.co/rCNUrEhd2h — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 7, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

After the past 48 hours, I would not want to be one of those Republicans like Josh Hawley who hitched my star to the notion that I could offer some kindler, gentler, smarter version of Trumpism. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 7, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

ABC News has projected that Jon Ossoff has won his US Senate race in Georgia and therefore that Democrats will gain control of the US Senate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gregggonsalves Had a moment just now where I couldn't figure out if the sirens I was hearing were ambulances heading to the Capitol on TV or ambulances transporting COVID patients outside my window. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah. This. Cruz, Hawley, et. al. need to rescind their objections. — PolitiTweet.org

Benjamin Morris @skepticalsports

All the coup caucus f***s who knew their stunt today was theater need to call off their shitshow and at the first c… https://t.co/f9N1AWLSdy

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our Georgia liveblog is sort of transforming into an Electoral College/just-generally-trying-to-cover-all-the-crazy-news liveblog, FWIW: https://t.co/rCNUrEhd2h — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

No reason this race shouldn't be called. — PolitiTweet.org

Kyle Griffin @kylegriffin1

Georgia elections official Gabe Sterling: "No evidence of any irregularities. The biggest thing we've seen is from… https://t.co/kRhfhETmvv

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @apoorva_nyc: People questioned why I covered the good news that immunity to the coronavirus might last years when it was still in a pre… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @micahcohen: The @FiveThirtyEight #GASen live blog says good morning to Day 2 (or Day 64, depending on how you count) ... https://t.c… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@briankoppelman I assume you mean online but still hoping they wise up and open up an MGM Yonkers or whatever at some point with a world-class poker room. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's only like the 12th most important lesson from this election cycle, but parties should be more careful about who they appoint to the Senate when there's a vacancy. Appointing McSally after she'd just lost wasn't wise. Same with Loeffler, who'd never won an election before. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe that it was a quirk but it increases the likelihood of certain theories of polling error relative to others, especially those centered around Trump turning out low-propensity voters that are hard to capture in polls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Basically the polls were quite good in Trump-era elections when Trump himself wasn't on the ballot (2018 midterms, Georgia 2021, Alabama 2017, 2017 Gov. races) and quite poor in the elections where he was (Nov. 2016, Nov. 2020). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MileHighBrendan I'm thinking more about what happens if you run the actuarial tables on a bunch of age 70+ senators, several of whom are in states with Republican governors or which state law requires would leave the seat vacant until a special election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MileHighBrendan Giving Murkowksi a committee chair + pledging to keep a credible Democrat from running in the top-4 primary maybe the easier route. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm too tired for long takes but on a scale from 0 to 10 on how bad this is for the GOP, it's maybe like a 9, not just because of the immediate implications, but also because it may imply that Trump is sort of a poison pill for how the party navigates its future. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah networks really have to watch this language. — PolitiTweet.org

James Oliphant @jamesoliphant

CNN referring to newly counted votes as "dumps" is not helpful to the process.

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @DecisionDeskHQ: Decision Desk HQ projects @ossoff (D) has won the Georgia Regular Senate Runoff Election, giving Democrats control of t… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @BFriedmanDC: With Dems poised to sweep the Presidency, the House and the Senate, it's fun to read these November takes on Democrats' "d… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

My head said these races were toss-ups and my gut said they were lean GOP so I'm glad I ignored my gut, as usual. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

First prize is a Cadillac El Dorado, second prize is a set of steak knives, third prize is you're fired. — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If there's one possible consolation prize for Republicans, Lauren "Bubba" McDonald, Jr. (R) is leading Daniel Black… https://t.co/WlV8iFTMMY

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

eyes emoji https://t.co/LRrPEBHeZW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Nate_Cohn Beyond the 171k+, are there also election day votes there? Or just provisionals? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@CahnEmily Yeah, polling did very well in races in the Trump era with Trump not on the ballot (e.g. 2018, special elections, probably these runoffs). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

PoLLiNg Is BrOkEn — PolitiTweet.org

Dan Rosenheck @DanRosenheck

If Warnock wins by 2 and Ossoff wins by 1, as the NYT needle now predicts, that would among other things be a much-… https://t.co/uDrN0pHZo6

Posted Jan. 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"Quite likely": Is The Needle secretly British? https://t.co/NnucRWf4im — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 6, 2021