Nate Silver

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is another key observation. About 25% of ballots were exhausted. Always fill out all your choices when participating in a ranked-choice election. https://t.co/vG1o7qOlRS — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Kinda seems like Yang's endorsement of Garcia as his #2 mattered here. She gains a lot of ground and overtakes Wiley when Yang is eliminated. Note that these results are preliminary; does not include absentee ballots. https://t.co/nbUx9JF1OC — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @travishelwig: Yes, Delta is a concern. No, it doesn’t bypass the vaccines. Wearing masks indoors is helpful but acting like another mon… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @thehowie: @NateSilver538 100%. I have talked with folks who have JNJ remorse (founded or not) and the science supports letting them get… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It sure seems very likely that people who got one dose of J&J would benefit from getting a booster of Pfizer or Moderna. Maybe another case where waiting for some incredibly high standard of "proof" before changing policy is harmful on balance. https://t.co/N9ilQYfzuV — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

You really wonder what the long term effects are when every donor pitch is like "contribute in the next 22 minutes or DEMOCRACY IS TOAST". https://t.co/RMNnYM7bw2 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not sure why the Bucks are wearing blue unis when everyone knows deer are green. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro @allahpundit I mean in some highly stylized sense the contrarians are already buying up all the argumentative real estate that is viable but underdeveloped, so the anti-contrarians are trying to find a niche in a market that has already been thoroughly picked over. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Recently there's been the emergence of a small but distinct group of dudes (mostly) on here whom you might call anti-contrarians. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende I think a mile is a much more intuitive distance than a kilometer. Like walking or running a mile is nontrivial but walking a kilometer is. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing some of y'all don't seem to get is that if a very high percentage of people in a certain group are vaccinated, then a fairly high percentage of infections may be among vaccinated people, even if the vaccines are incredibly effective. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @galendruke: Questions answered: https://t.co/sLrlHsY3Gg — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is good. https://t.co/5NuowtOGyR — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is good: https://t.co/BDvZ6pYYJE — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ForecasterEnten I think it's worse? Lot more people out and about. Anyway, Citibike is good. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hard to find a taxicab in New York City these days. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @dhopkins1776: My latest @FiveThirtyEight piece with @ProfHansNoel is now up: https://t.co/0QIKvXi2bt We use @YouGovAmerica surveys of… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The cool thing about this is "I'm going to Las Vegas for research purposes" (for 2 weeks 😬 starting tomorrow) is a thing I can actually say. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@donnellymjd I haven't looked but yeah agree that you really don't want to be showing someone's vote in precincts with one voter... — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yang has clearly faded and Adams is clearly leading but yeah the de facto margin of error on a mayoral primary with ranked choice voting has got to be pretty high. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I also wonder if there are some tipping points. Institutions like academia have strong traditions of open debate, which helps them to be self-critical. But if you go from e.g. 80% of members preferring one political party to 95%, those traditions may get swamped by partisanship. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Nobody stays in their lane, which is fine—overall I'm in favor of less lane-staying. But when you have groups of experts and (in some fields) 95%+ of them are liberal Democrats, you'll often wind up with a messy amalgam of actual expertise and partisan political preferences. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Borrowing this from the @mattyglesias newsletter but it's funny that when Democracy got together a group of scholars to rewrite the constitution, they added a wealth tax but didn't do anything to clarify, say, the presidential line of succession beyond VP. https://t.co/Gs245LoFyt https://t.co/gHC3IqQ2Hd — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @LZGranderson: Yo so real quick— I’m seeing way too many “who cares?” in a country that introduced more than 250 anti-LGBTQ bills this y… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Definitely a step in the right direction! — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm all for multidisciplinary work but this is a pretty simplistic view of how media works (not least the idea that *only now* has the business become advertising-driven) and this paper would have benefited from more input from experts in politics, communications and journalism. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @kavithadavidson: This is monumental. https://t.co/HBBy6FZGaI — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

(To be clear, this was not a critique of Adam or his organization in any way; rather, it was intended as a critique of the Indivisible tweet he was citing.) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If one of the leading progressive advocacy groups has a message that Biden just needs to Try Harder when there's no evidence that this would actually work—and the swing vote is in a Trump +39 state—then maybe progressives need better advocacy groups. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @AJentleson: It’s not great to use Green Lanternism and the unreasonable expectations placed on Obama as an excuse to phone it in on dem… — PolitiTweet.org