Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 26, 2021

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Tue Jun 22 16:34:14 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yang has clearly faded and Adams is clearly leading but yeah the de facto margin of error on a mayoral primary with ranked choice voting has got to be pretty high. — PolitiTweet.org

My prediction for NYC Mayor is that based on polling, each of the top four candidates can realistically advance to… https://t.co/cCoQ7aVQn4

Posted June 22, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I also wonder if there are some tipping points. Institutions like academia have strong traditions of open debate, which helps them to be self-critical. But if you go from e.g. 80% of members preferring one political party to 95%, those traditions may get swamped by partisanship. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 22, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@donnellymjd I haven't looked but yeah agree that you really don't want to be showing someone's vote in precincts with one voter... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 23, 2021