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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Note that the “autopsy” on any bad election for the GOP is always we should moderate on immigration! we should embrace trumpian populism! we should embrace criminal justice reform!we should blame trump! we should blame abortion! we should be tough on crime! Never rethink taxes. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
My take on the conservative movement is not remotely cynical — I think the most idealistic, most achingly sincere people on earth sincerely believe they are serving humanity by running a series of scams designed to keep taxes on capital low to promote economic growth. — PolitiTweet.org
AnothaDolla @AnothaDolla
@mattyglesias You have a very cynical take on “the conservative movement”. Sure, some members have those views. Why… https://t.co/5egh6Eezuq
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@tedfrank No they weren’t — all the progressive elements were scheduled to expire and all the regressive ones were made permanent. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Other stuff in the mix too but that core claim — midterms are *not* a referendum on the incumbent president — is pretty counterintuitive and seems pretty vindicated to me. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
What we saw in 2022 was a stranger corner case — even a fairly unpopular president can avoid backlash if his opponents score controversial policy wins (Dobbs) and are clearly threatening alarming changes (election denialism). — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
The main implication they draw from the paper is that even a popular president could face significant midterm backlash — if he is seen as advancing controversial policy change on multiple fronts, many voters will still opt for a check. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
The paper of the midterms is Bafumi, Erickson, and Wleizen (2009) which shows that contrary to what you might think the predictable backlash against the president’s party in the midterms cannot be explained as a function of the president’s popularity. https://t.co/oQOctFNeSK https://t.co/24wAo9txk2 — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @SamElder11: @CitizenIntrepid @mattyglesias Nope, Sununu/Bolduc is bigger. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
You can also see this in the conservative movement’s attitude toward same-sex marriage which was a fundamental threat to the stability of the country when saying so was helpful to the cause of regressive tax policy but got dropped like a rock the moment it became a hindrance. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
The conservative establishment’s wildly swinging attitude toward Donald Trump can be modeled pretty strictly as a function of “at the current moment, is boosting Trump helpful to the cause of low taxes for capital owners?” which itself varies over time. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @CitizenIntrepid: @mattyglesias You didn't mention the biggest one: DeWine/Vance — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Great opportunities available here — PolitiTweet.org
GiveWell @GiveWell
GiveWell still needs Senior Researchers! Our research efforts are expanding quickly and we’re seeking excellent sen… https://t.co/r9vV8GNeLm
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
I mean if you are narrowly trying to beat Trump in the 2024 GOP primary it makes perfect sense because we know Rubio already failed here, but if you’re remotely on the level it seems worth mentioning that Rubio got the same swing in a year with a lot of split tickets elsewhere. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
It’s weird to have the Kemp/Warnock and Mastriano/Oz performance gaps staring you right in the face and then decide that Ron DeSantis deserves credit for Marco Rubio’s popularity. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
If it continues, increased abortion salience should promote further racial depolarization of politics — GSS data has non-Hispanic whites slightly more pro-choice than African-Americans or Hispanics. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @rachaelbedard: I’ll be on @AliVelshi this am around 9:45 talking about abortion related ballot initiatives! — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Something to this but it’s also true that inflation makes alleviating supply side constraints to growth more pressing. So I’ll take the win. — PolitiTweet.org
stephen judkins @stephenjudkins
That California liberalized zoning *right* before interest rates and inflation made housing construction incredibly… https://t.co/L0dGI5x7WC
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @MattGrossmann: In many areas where we know the partisan composition of the early vote & the results of the early vote in those same are… — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Interesting map of the senate/gov gap in Pennsylvania that varied quite a bit from place to place. — PolitiTweet.org
Lara Putnam @lara_putnam
There was a bizarre week October when multiple reporters wanted to ask me if Fetterman was "doing enough" to win vo… https://t.co/dsY1LzJOhO
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @williamjordann: WA-03 a story of cross-partisan cooperation. A large number of Democrats put partly label aside and cast a vote for one… — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@PeterMoskos A long time ago, a guy name Bernie Sanders got elected mayor of Burlington as a socialist thanks to support from the police union who appreciated his call for more funding. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
What is dead may never die, but rises again, stronger and harder. — PolitiTweet.org
Josh Hawley @HawleyMO
The old party is dead. Time to bury it. Build something new
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Love the Schumer Sunday Press Conference energy even more so on a Saturday night. — PolitiTweet.org
Nathaniel Reed @ReedReports
JUST IN: After several outlets called NV-Sen for Cortez-Masto (AP has not called) Sen. Majority Leader Chuck Schume… https://t.co/m1z4MM6VMg
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Do it, Nashville — PolitiTweet.org
Donald Shoup @DonaldShoup
Bill to Eliminate Minimum Parking Requirements to Go Before Council https://t.co/pK4VUx5OtX via @nashvillescene
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @CharlotteAlter: If even ONE election denier had been elected Sec of State in a battleground, it would have thrust democracy into chaos.… — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
It’s too bad you can’t just clone Mark Kelly and have him serve in both Arizona seats simultaneously https://t.co/OlWev6ZPd0 — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
I think a senate term lasts six years, we don’t know what the count will be for four of them, and for all six years Georgia would be better-served by a champion for affordable prescription drugs than by a proponent of Rick Scott’s plan for a five-year sunset of Social Security. — PolitiTweet.org
stephen fowler @stphnfwlr
Yes, national/very online Dems will say “this makes Sinema/Manchin more useless if it’s 51 seats” but that’s not wh… https://t.co/5A4RufLGXd
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Giving Manchin, Tester, and Brown the opportunity to cast a rotating series of low-stakes “no” votes on random nominees is also valuable on its own terms. — PolitiTweet.org
Sam Stein @samstein
Warnock still extremely critical for the Dems. A Joe Manchin vote is never a given. A Joe Manchin in cycle vote is… https://t.co/OofhXqZ9sc
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Hilarious that both McCarthy and McConnell were on the record with “our senate nominees suck” as part of their election message. — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Burns @alexanderburns
The strategy almost from the start was to placate Trump at the cost of the some of the party's most vulnerable memb… https://t.co/T7MsdI25p0
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
What a spot — PolitiTweet.org
More Perfect Union @MorePerfectUS
BREAKING: Marie Gluesenkamp Perez has flipped WA-03, the first Democrat to win the U.S. House district in over a de… https://t.co/JBnpPGjDIK
